Liniers v UAI Urquiza

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Liniers win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Liniers 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–35–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Liniers v UAI Urquiza
4. 3′Little has changed for our model: Liniers 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–35–22
5. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Liniers win 37%)
6. 29′Liniers find the net on 29′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–5
7. 29′We said Liniers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–5
8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Liniers 1–0 UAI Urquiza
9. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Liniers win: 43% at kick-off, 79% now
10. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Liniers win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 16%)
11. 30′We said Liniers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 1.8 we expected. 1–0 · 80–16–4
13. 45′HALF-TIME Liniers 1–0 UAI Urquiza
14. 46′SECOND HALF Liniers 1–0 UAI Urquiza
15. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Liniers win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
16. 59′We said Liniers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
17. 73′We said Liniers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
18. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Liniers
19. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Liniers win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
20. 83′We said Liniers at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
21. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 56' UAI Urquiza · On: N. Rios · Off: L. Arcuri
22. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 56' UAI Urquiza · On: E. Diaz · Off: E. Ibanez
23. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 66' UAI Urquiza · On: R. Scarcella · Off: F. Galli
24. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Liniers · On: E. Pereyra · Off: F. Rodon Corrected
25. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Liniers · On: J. Tonet · Off: E. Gallegos Corrected
26. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 79' UAI Urquiza · On: M. Polizotto · Off: F. Mesa
27. 96′A goal for UAI Urquiza on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 1–98–1
28. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Liniers 1–1 UAI Urquiza
29. 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+6' Liniers win: 43% at kick-off, 1% now
30. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Liniers win 1%)
31. 97′We said Liniers at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–1 · 1–98–1
32. FTFULL TIME Liniers 1–1 UAI Urquiza
33. FTLiniers 1–1 UAI Urquiza · Liniers win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.