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Deportivo Armenio v Comunicaciones

Deportivo Armenio

0–0Full time

Comunicaciones

Primera B Metropolitana · SAT 10 OCT · Armenia Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 22:01

Deportivo Armenio 0–0 Comunicaciones DEPORTIVO ARMENIO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Deportivo Armenio win~~43%

~~The market said~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.677

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.737

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo Armenio win at 43%.
1′KICK-OFF Deportivo Armenio v Comunicaciones
2′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Armenio 43% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–31–25
19′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo Armenio 43% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–35–24
35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Comunicaciones
36′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Comunicaciones
45′HALF-TIME Deportivo Armenio 0–0 Comunicaciones
45′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Comunicaciones
46′SECOND HALF Deportivo Armenio 0–0 Comunicaciones
77′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Comunicaciones · On: G. Jaque · Off: R. Figueroa
77′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Comunicaciones · On: E. Ramirez · Off: F. Di Lena
77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Comunicaciones
90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Deportivo Armenio
90′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Comunicaciones
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Comunicaciones
FTFULL TIME Deportivo Armenio 0–0 Comunicaciones
FTDeportivo Armenio 0–0 Comunicaciones · Deportivo Armenio win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Deportivo Armenio win43%

Draw34%

Comunicaciones win24%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:30

Venue · Armenia Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Deportivo Armenio

Formation not confirmed

1 N. Nistal

7 C. Gomez

4 B. Ortiz

6 J. Echeverria

3 N. Mosca

11 N. Herrera Jonathan

5 F. Tello

10 D. Barrionuevo

8 F. Almanza

9 L. Pellegrino

2 I. Cardozo

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · J. Mugica

13 · F. Marchesini

14 · S. Avalos

15 · E. Aguirre

16 · R. Gerez

17 · J. Guenzani

18 · T. Suanez

20 · L. Palma

19 · F. Motta

Comunicaciones

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Bacher

4 R. Figueroa

2 F. Fabello

6 F. Mattia

3 R. Compagnucci

8 I. Carruega

5 C. Puigdellivol

10 J. Ibanez

11 F. Di Lena

9 J. Heidenreich

7 V. Quevedo

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · G. Yacaruso

13 · G. Jaque

14 · T. Porto

15 · T. Rolon

16 · L. Britez

17 · J. Villalba

18 · J. Barroso

19 · E. Ramirez

20 · L. Vico

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Deportivo Armenio

Formation not confirmed

1 N. Nistal

7 C. Gomez

4 B. Ortiz

6 J. Echeverria

3 N. Mosca

11 N. Herrera Jonathan

5 F. Tello

10 D. Barrionuevo

8 F. Almanza

9 L. Pellegrino

2 I. Cardozo

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · J. Mugica

13 · F. Marchesini

14 · S. Avalos

15 · E. Aguirre

16 · R. Gerez

17 · J. Guenzani

18 · T. Suanez

20 · L. Palma

19 · F. Motta

Comunicaciones

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Bacher

4 R. Figueroa

2 F. Fabello

6 F. Mattia

3 R. Compagnucci

8 I. Carruega

5 C. Puigdellivol

10 J. Ibanez

11 F. Di Lena

9 J. Heidenreich

7 V. Quevedo

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · G. Yacaruso

13 · G. Jaque

14 · T. Porto

15 · T. Rolon

16 · L. Britez

17 · J. Villalba

18 · J. Barroso

19 · E. Ramirez

20 · L. Vico

Our number · deportivo armenio winPublished 10 Oct 19:30

43% The market46%

Us43%

~~Market~~46%

We make Deportivo Armenio a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · deportivo armenio win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 41% to 45% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo Armenio win	43%	46%	−3
Draw	34%	31%	+3
Comunicaciones win	24%	23%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	32%	35%	−3
Both teams to score	39%	41%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	60%	59%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	14%	17%	−3
Deportivo Armenio or draw	76%	77%	−1
Deportivo Armenio clean sheet	45%	–	–
Comunicaciones clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.8%

0123450 15.8 9.5 4.5 1 14.5 14.6 5.2 2 9.5 7.5 3.0 3 3.7 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo Armenio down, Comunicaciones across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,195 Primera B Metropolitana matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Primera B Metropolitana matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.9% of games this season, across 420 played.

Head to head

13 previous meetings, 1.77 goals a meeting; 4 of 13 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo Armenio at home: 0.67 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Comunicaciones away: 0.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Deportivo Armenio, 0.80 for Comunicaciones. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

13 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.77

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 13

~~Both scored~~2 of 13

~~Last meetings~~COM 0–1 DEP · DEP 3–0 COM · COM 0–1 DEP · DEP 1–0 COM

Form · last six in Primera B Metropolitana

DEPORTIVO ARMENIO

WDWWWW1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

COMUNICACIONES

WWDWDD1–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Excursionistas	39	+33	77
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	+25	69
3	Talleres Remedios	39	+17	68
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	+17	65
5	Villa Dalmine	38	+15	64
6	Deportivo Camioneros	39	+14	64
7	Real Pilar	38	+4	61
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	+4	60
9	Comunicaciones	38	+5	55
10	Deportivo Laferrere	38	−4	51
11	San Martín Burzaco	38	−2	50
12	Dock Sud	38	−2	47
13	Villa San Carlos	39	−6	47
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	−6	44
15	Deportivo Merlo	38	−15	44
16	Argentino Quilmes	38	−7	43
17	Liniers	38	−8	43
18	Defensores Unidos	38	−6	41
19	Brown DE Adrogue	38	−13	39
20	Flandria	38	−14	39
21	UAI Urquiza	38	−14	35
22	Ituzaingó	38	−37	15