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Argentino Quilmes v Brown DE Adrogue

Argentino Quilmes

20:00Upcoming

Brown DE Adrogue

Primera B Metropolitana · SAT 31 OCT · Barranca Quilmena stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Argentino QuilmesDrawBrown DE Adrogue

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Argentino Quilmes 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Argentino Quilmes just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Argentino Quilmes 40%, draw 36%, Brown DE Adrogue 24%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Argentino Quilmes v Brown DE AdrogueBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Argentino Quilmes win40%

Draw36%

Brown DE Adrogue win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 42

VenueBarranca Quilmena stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Argentino Quilmes

Brown DE Adrogue

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Primera B Metropolitana

Last match: 17 Oct · Primera B Metropolitana

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Argentino Quilmes	41	−7	47
19	Brown DE Adrogue	40	−12	43

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · argentino quilmes winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Argentino Quilmes a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Argentino Quilmes v Brown DE Adrogue~~1.03 – 0.75

~~Form · last six in Primera B Metropolitana this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D4 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 47 v 43~~17 v 19

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Argentino Quilmes win	40%	–	–
Draw	36%	–	–
Brown DE Adrogue win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Argentino Quilmes or draw	76%	–	–
Argentino Quilmes clean sheet	48%	–	–
Brown DE Adrogue clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.8%

0123450 18.8 11.0 4.7 1 15.8 14.5 4.8 2 8.9 6.6 2.5 3 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Argentino Quilmes down, Brown DE Adrogue across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,223 Primera B Metropolitana matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Primera B Metropolitana matches have gone over 2.5 in 32.4% of games this season, across 448 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.67 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Argentino Quilmes at home: 0.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Brown DE Adrogue away: 0.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.03 goals for Argentino Quilmes, 0.75 for Brown DE Adrogue. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~BRO 2–4 ARG · BRO 1–1 ARG · ARG 0–0 BRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Primera B Metropolitana this season · since 12 Sept

ARGENTINO QUILMES

DDDDLW0–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

BROWN DE ADROGUE

LDWDWD0–2 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Excursionistas	41	+37	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	41	+28	76
3	Sportivo Italiano	41	+14	69
4	Talleres Remedios	40	+16	68
5	Villa Dalmine	41	+13	68
6	Deportivo Camioneros	41	+14	67
7	Deportivo Armenio	41	+3	62
8	Real Pilar	40	+3	62
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	−2	58
10	Comunicaciones	41	+4	57
11	San Martín Burzaco	41	−5	51
12	Villa San Carlos	40	−3	50
13	Flandria	41	−10	48
14	Deportivo Merlo	41	−15	48
15	Dock Sud	40	−4	47
16	Argentino de Merlo	41	−7	47
17	Argentino Quilmes	41	−7	47
18	Liniers	40	−8	45
19	Brown DE Adrogue	40	−12	43
20	Defensores Unidos	40	−7	42
21	UAI Urquiza	40	−13	39
22	Ituzaingó	41	−39	17