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Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa FeEstudiantes L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina · MON 26 OCT · Estadio 15 de Abril
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Union Santa Fe just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Union Santa Fe 37%, draw 30%, Estudiantes L.P. 33%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Union Santa Fe win37%Estudiantes L.P. win33%Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 22:00
RoundClausura · matchday 14
VenueEstadio 15 de Abril
RefereePablo Dovalo
Match timeline
All events
Union Santa FeMINEstudiantes L.P.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Last match: 20 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina
Last match: 23 Oct · CONMEBOL Libertadores
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026 · Clausura - Group APositions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | −4 | 14 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Union Santa Fe a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Santa Fe win | 37% | 38% | −1 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Estudiantes L.P. win | 33% | 32% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 43% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 50% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 68% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 24% | −3 |
| Union Santa Fe or draw | 67% | 68% | −1 |
| Union Santa Fe clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Estudiantes L.P. clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 6 Sept
UNION SANTA FE
ESTUDIANTES L.P.
The table
2026 · Clausura - Group A| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Instituto Cordoba | 13 | +10 | 29 |
| 2 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | +7 | 27 |
| 3 |  Boca Juniors | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  Lanus | 14 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 |  Velez Sarsfield | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 6 |  Newells Old Boys | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia M. | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 13 | −1 | 19 |
| 9 |  San Lorenzo | 14 | −5 | 18 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | −4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Platense | 14 | −6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Riestra | 13 | −3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | −7 | 10 |
| 15 |  Talleres Cordoba | 14 | −9 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.