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Talleres Cordoba v Defensa Y Justicia

Talleres Cordoba
1–2Full time
Defensa Y Justicia

Liga Profesional Argentina · SAT 24 OCT · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 23:31
Talleres Cordoba 1–2 Defensa Y Justicia TALLERES CORDOBA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Talleres Cordoba win41%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.786
The market’s Brier score0.745

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Talleres Cordoba win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Talleres Cordoba 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Talleres Cordoba v Defensa Y Justicia
  4. 32′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
  5. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia
  6. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Talleres Cordoba win: 41% at kick-off, 74% now
  7. 33′Talleres Cordoba ahead on 32′ through Agustin Alvarez Martínez. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  8. 35′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  9. 36′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 75–19–6
  10. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Leandro Fernández · Defensa Y Justicia
  11. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Roman Daniel Riquelme · Talleres Cordoba
  12. 45′HALF-TIME Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Talleres Cordoba 1–0 Defensa Y Justicia
  14. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Talleres Cordoba 1–1 Defensa Y Justicia
  15. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Talleres Cordoba win: 41% at kick-off, 32% now
  16. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Talleres Cordoba win 77%)
  17. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Talleres Cordoba win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
  18. 49′Leandro Fernández scores for Defensa Y Justicia on 47′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–46–23
  19. 53′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–22
  20. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Damián Fernández · Defensa Y Justicia
  21. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Talleres Cordoba · On: Mateo Caceres · Off: Giovanni Baroni
  22. 64′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
  23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Talleres Cordoba · On: Lautaro Fabián Ortiz · Off: Federico Fattori
  24. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Talleres Cordoba win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
  25. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Defensa Y Justicia · On: Aaron Molinas · Off: David Barbona
  26. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Defensa Y Justicia · On: Maximiliano Porcel · Off: César Pérez
  27. 70′14 shots for Talleres Cordoba, 9 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 20–65–15
  28. 72′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
  29. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Lautaro Fabián Ortiz · Talleres Cordoba
  30. 78′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
  31. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Defensa Y Justicia · On: Agustin Hausch · Off: Jeremías Lucco
  32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Defensa Y Justicia · On: Tiziano Perrotta · Off: Leandro Fernández
  33. 80′16 shots for Talleres Cordoba, 9 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 12–79–9
  34. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Talleres Cordoba win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
  35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Talleres Cordoba · On: Diego Valoyes · Off: Rick Lima
  36. 83′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–7
  37. 89′88′: Juan Manuel Gutiérrez on the scoresheet for Defensa Y Justicia, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–95
  38. 89′We said Talleres Cordoba at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–4–95
  39. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Talleres Cordoba 1–2 Defensa Y Justicia · Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
  40. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Talleres Cordoba win: 41% at kick-off, under 1% now
  41. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Defensa Y Justicia win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 91%)
  42. 90′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–4–96
  43. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Alexandro Maidana · Talleres Cordoba
  44. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Defensa Y Justicia · On: Ayrton Portillo · Off: Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
  45. FTFULL TIME Talleres Cordoba 1–2 Defensa Y Justicia
  46. FTTalleres Cordoba 1–2 Defensa Y Justicia · Talleres Cordoba win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Talleres Cordoba are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Talleres Cordoba 41%, draw 31%, Defensa Y Justicia 28%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Talleres Cordoba v Defensa Y JusticiaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Talleres Cordoba win41%
Draw31%
Defensa Y Justicia win28%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 21:00

RoundClausura · matchday 14

VenueEstadio Mario Alberto Kempes

RefereeJuan Pafundi

Line-ups

Talleres Cordoba

4-2-3-1

Defensa Y Justicia

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Talleres Cordoba

Defensa Y Justicia

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Clausura - Group A

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Defensa Y Justicia13+624
15Talleres Cordoba13−89

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Talleres Cordoba

4-2-3-1

32 E. Unsain

20 A. Schott

4 M. Catalán

6 R. Riquelme

3 A. Maidana

8 F. Fattori

5 M. Galarza

37 Rick

10 G. Baroni

11 V. Depietri

9 A. Álvarez

Coach · O. De Felippe

Substitutes

23 · G. Báez

1 · S. Barbi

2 · T. Chamorro

36 · E. Chiavassa

26 · M. Caceres

49 · V. Dávila

13 · V. Fascendini

44 · S. Fernández

27 · J. Gallard

39 · L. F. Ortiz

15 · J. Sforza

7 · D. Valoyes

Defensa Y Justicia

4-2-3-1

1 M. Borgogno

28 V. Loza

29 D. Fernández

21 D. Martínez

30 D. Domínguez

15 S. Sosa

8 C. Pérez

26 J. Lucco

19 D. Barbona

24 J. Gutiérrez

9 L. Fernández

Coach · J. Vaccari

Substitutes

27 · D. Blanco

36 · L. Amadé

6 · E. Burdin

17 · A. Hausch

2 · E. Lucero

5 · J. López

10 · A. Molinas

11 · Tiziano Perrota

22 · M. Porcel

16 · A. Portillo

7 · T. Pérez

32 · Nazareno Roselli

Our number · talleres cordoba winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 21 Oct 03:46 · locked at kick-off
41% The market41%
Us41%
Market41%

We make Talleres Cordoba a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Talleres Cordoba v Defensa Y Justicia1.26 – 0.98
Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 5 SeptW1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 9 v 2415 v 3
The market · Talleres Cordoba win41% · ours 41%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 20:22
Our probability · Talleres Cordoba win The market, margin stripped

Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Talleres Cordoba win41%41%0
Draw31%29%+2
Defensa Y Justicia win28%30%−2
Over 2.5 goals39%45%−6
Both teams to score46%51%−5
Over 1.5 goals66%70%−4
Over 3.5 goals19%25%−6
Talleres Cordoba or draw72%70%+2
Talleres Cordoba clean sheet38%––
Defensa Y Justicia clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%
0123450 11.9 9.4 5.2 1 12.3 14.1 6.4 2.1 2 8.4 8.2 4.0 3 3.5 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Talleres Cordoba down, Defensa Y Justicia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.54 of 7
Both scored5 of 7
Last meetingsDEF 1–2 TAL · TAL 1–1 DEF · DEF 1–1 TAL · TAL 1–0 DEF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 5 Sept

TALLERES CORDOBA

LWLLDL0–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2

DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA

LWDWWL0–1 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 0–1

The table

2026 · Clausura - Group A
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Instituto Cordoba13+1029
2Boca Juniors13+724
3Defensa Y Justicia13+624
4Velez Sarsfield13+524
5Lanus13+723
6Newells Old Boys13+320
7Gimnasia M.14+120
8Independiente13−119
9San Lorenzo13−517
10Estudiantes L.P.13+114
11Union Santa Fe13−414
12Platense14−614
13Deportivo Riestra13−312
14Central Cordoba de Santiago13−710
15Talleres Cordoba13−89

The competition's standings before kick-off.