Rosario Central v Huracan prediction · Liga Profesional Argentina

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rosario CentralDrawHuracan

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 01:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Rosario Central 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rosario Central are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rosario Central 45%, draw 32%, Huracan 23%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Rosario Central v HuracanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Rosario Central win45%

Draw32%

Huracan win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 01:30

RoundClausura · matchday 14

VenueEstadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre

RefereeYael Falcon Perez

Line-ups

Rosario Central

4-2-3-1

Huracan

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rosario Central

Huracan

8Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Rosario Central	16	+4	28
7	Huracan	16	+4	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Rosario Central

4-2-3-1

23 J. Ledesma

32 E. Coronel

46 Ignacio Ovando

13 G. Ávila

3 A. Sandez

5 F. Ibarra

20 V. Pizarro

88 A. Rodríguez

11 Á. Di María

8 J. Campaz

22 E. Copetti

Coach · J. Almirón

Substitutes

10 · F. Cervi

26 · G. Cantizano

18 · J. Fernández

38 · Damian Leandro Fernandez

24 · Juan Valentín Giménez

6 · J. Komar

15 · F. Mallo

9 · M. Ruben

33 · A. Soto

42 · E. Veron

2 · S. Zaracho

16 · T. Badaloni

Huracan

4-2-3-1

1 H. Galíndez

2 L. Blondel

6 F. Pereyra

35 Máximo Palazzo

25 C. Ibáñez

20 E. Ojeda

15 F. Waller

17 F. Bisanz

5 R. Fernández

7 Ó. Cortés

9 J. Caicedo

Coach · Diego Martinez

Substitutes

8 · L. Gil

24 · F. Kalinger

19 · L. Lescano

46 · F. Martinez

32 · S. Meza

21 · M. Nervo

11 · T. Peralta

23 · I. Pussetto

48 · S. Raynelli

10 · Ó. Romero

4 · F. Vera

33 · B. Barticciotto

Our number · rosario central winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market53%

Us45%

~~Market~~53%

We make Rosario Central a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rosario Central v Huracan~~1.19 – 0.77

~~Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 4 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 28 v 22~~4 v 7

~~The market · Rosario Central win~~53% · ours 45%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rosario Central win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rosario Central win	45%	53%	−8
Draw	32%	28%	+4
Huracan win	23%	18%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	31%	39%	−8
Both teams to score	38%	42%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	59%	65%	−6
Over 3.5 goals	14%	21%	−7
Rosario Central or draw	77%	82%	−5
Rosario Central clean sheet	46%	–	–
Huracan clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.6%

0123450 15.3 9.7 4.2 1 15.6 13.9 4.9 2 10.0 7.6 2.9 3 4.0 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rosario Central down, Huracan across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,803 Liga Profesional Argentina matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Profesional Argentina matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.8% of games this season, across 455 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 3 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rosario Central at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Huracan away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Rosario Central, 0.77 for Huracan. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 9

~~Both scored~~3 of 9

~~Last meetings~~HUR 3–1 ROS · ROS 0–1 HUR · ROS 0–1 HUR · HUR 2–0 ROS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 4 Sept

ROSARIO CENTRAL

DWWDWW1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 3–2

HURACAN

DWWWLL1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026 · Apertura - Group B

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	+10	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	+4	28
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	0	26
7	Huracan	16	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	0	21
10	Tigre	16	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	−7	19
12	Banfield	16	−2	18
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	−5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	−13	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	−19	5