Racing Club v Belgrano Cordoba prediction · Liga Profesional Argentina

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 02:00

Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba RACING CLUB WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Racing Club win~~45%

~~The market said~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.866

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.765

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Racing Club win at 45%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Racing Club 45% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–29–25
1′KICK-OFF Racing Club v Belgrano Cordoba
2′Little has changed for our model: Racing Club 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–29–25
21′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Ramiro Hernandes · Belgrano Cordoba
24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Adrian Sanchez · Belgrano Cordoba
34′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Adrian Spörle · Belgrano Cordoba
39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Lucas Passerini · Belgrano Cordoba
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Racing Club 0–1 Belgrano Cordoba · Lucas Zelarayán
45′HALF-TIME Racing Club 0–1 Belgrano Cordoba
45′SECOND HALF Racing Club 0–1 Belgrano Cordoba
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Racing Club · On: Matías Zaracho · Off: Diego Ulises·Ortegoza
62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Racing Club · On: Elías David Torres · Off: Lautaro Diaz
62′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Elías David Torres · Racing Club
67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Belgrano Cordoba · On: Juan Velázquez · Off: Ramiro Hernandes
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba · Lucas Zelarayán
68′⚽ GOAL · 69' Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba · Emiliano Rigoni
71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Racing Club · On: Alejandro Joaquín Tello · Off: Tomás Conechny
71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Racing Club · On: Matko Miljevic · Off: Leonel Pérez
76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Belgrano Cordoba · On: Alcides Benitez · Off: Emiliano Rigoni
78′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Racing Club · On: Duván Vergara · Off: Gastón Lódico
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Belgrano Cordoba · On: Santiago Longo · Off: Adrian Spörle
84′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Belgrano Cordoba · On: Lautaro Ismael Gutierrez · Off: Lucas Passerini
94′⚽ GOAL · 94' Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba · Lucas Zelarayán
94′⚽ GOAL · 95' Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba · Franco Vázquez
FTFULL TIME Racing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba
FTRacing Club 0–2 Belgrano Cordoba · Racing Club win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Racing Club win45%

Draw31%

Belgrano Cordoba win24%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 23:15

VenueEstadio Juan Domingo Perón

RefereeYael Falcon Perez

Line-ups

Racing Club

4-1-4-1

Belgrano Cordoba

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Racing Club

Belgrano Cordoba

6Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Belgrano Cordoba	31	+13	55
18	Racing Club	29	−1	36

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Racing Club

4-1-4-1

25 F. Cambeses

4 E. Cannavo

38 M. Martinez

43 G. Escudero

19 I. Rodriguez

33 L. Perez

32 L. Diaz

16 U. Ortegoza

20 G. A. Lodico

17 T. Conechny

9 Adrian Martinez

Coach · Sebastian Ariel Romero

Substitutes

30 · M. Tagliamonte

18 · Pacha

14 · J. Barinaga

2 · M. Perez

23 · N. Colombo

5 · M. Kranevitter

46 · A. Tello

11 · M. Zaracho

10 · M. Miljevic

24 · A. Fernandez

7 · D. Vergara

22 · E. Torres

Belgrano Cordoba

4-2-3-1

23 M. Vicentini

14 L. Morales

2 A. Maldonado

17 L. Lopez

3 A. Sporle

21 A. Sanchez

20 F. Vazquez

24 E. Rigoni

10 L. Zelarayan

8 R. Hernandes

9 L. Passerini

Coach · Ricardo Zielinski

Substitutes

25 · T. Cardozo

16 · F. Ricca

26 · A. J. Benitez Cabrera

45 · A. Falcon

13 · A. Ocampo

37 · L. Gutierrez

5 · S. Longo

15 · R. Tulian

22 · N. Fernandez

11 · F. Gonzalez

30 · G. Zelarayan

53 · J. Velazquez

Our number · racing club winPublished 11 Oct 23:01

45% The market41%

Us45%

~~Market~~41%

We make Racing Club a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · racing club win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Racing Club win	45%	41%	+4
Draw	31%	31%	0
Belgrano Cordoba win	24%	29%	−4
Over 2.5 goals	36%	41%	−5
Both teams to score	43%	48%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	64%	66%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	17%	21%	−4
Racing Club or draw	76%	71%	+4
Racing Club clean sheet	42%	–	–
Belgrano Cordoba clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%

0123450 12.9 9.1 4.5 1 13.7 14.0 5.6 2 9.5 8.2 3.6 3 4.1 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Racing Club down, Belgrano Cordoba across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,774 Liga Profesional Argentina matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga Profesional Argentina matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.8% of games this season, across 426 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 3.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Racing Club at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Belgrano Cordoba away: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Racing Club, 0.87 for Belgrano Cordoba. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 11 Oct 23:00. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~BEL 1–2 RAC · BEL 0–1 RAC · RAC 4–0 BEL · BEL 4–4 RAC

Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina

RACING CLUB

DLLLWW1–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–1

BELGRANO CORDOBA

LDDDWW1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Belgrano Cordoba	31	+13	55
2	Argentinos JRS	30	+11	55
3	Boca Juniors	29	+19	52
4	Independ. Rivadavia	28	+14	52
5	Rosario Central	30	+8	51
6	River Plate	30	+13	49
7	Velez Sarsfield	28	+11	49
8	Gimnasia L.P.	30	−1	48
9	Instituto Cordoba	28	+9	47
10	Estudiantes L.P.	29	+13	45
11	Huracan	30	+5	43
12	Defensa Y Justicia	28	+4	43
13	Lanus	28	+5	41
14	Independiente	28	+1	41
15	Barracas Central	28	+1	39
16	Sarmiento Junin	27	−4	38
17	Union Santa Fe	30	−1	37
18	Racing Club	29	−1	36
19	Gimnasia M.	27	−6	36
20	Talleres Cordoba	28	−4	34
21	San Lorenzo	28	−7	34
22	Tigre	28	+1	32
23	Newells Old Boys	27	−9	32
24	Banfield	28	−6	31
25	Atletico Tucuman	28	−5	28
26	Platense	27	−11	26
27	Central Cordoba de Santiago	28	−16	26
28	Deportivo Riestra	27	−9	22
29	Aldosivi	28	−20	16
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	27	−28	11