Racing Club v Aldosivi prediction · Liga Profesional Argentina

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Racing ClubDrawAldosivi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 00:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Racing Club 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Racing Club are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Racing Club 60%, draw 25%, Aldosivi 15%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Racing Club v AldosiviBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Racing Club win60%

Draw25%

Aldosivi win15%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 00:15

RoundClausura · matchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Racing Club

Aldosivi

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Racing Club	13	−6	12
15	Aldosivi	13	−8	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · racing club winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

60% The market60%

Us60%

~~Market~~60%

We make Racing Club a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.8–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Racing Club v Aldosivi~~1.78 – 0.78

~~Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 12 v 8~~13 v 15

~~The market · Racing Club win~~60% · ours 60%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Racing Club win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Racing Club win	60%	60%	0
Draw	25%	25%	0
Aldosivi win	15%	15%	0
Over 2.5 goals	47%	44%	+3
Both teams to score	45%	43%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	73%	69%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	26%	24%	+2
Racing Club or draw	85%	85%	0
Racing Club clean sheet	46%	–	–
Aldosivi clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%

0123450 8.9 5.2 2.4 1 12.9 11.6 4.2 2 12.1 9.3 3.6 3 7.2 5.5 2.2 4 3.3 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Racing Club down, Aldosivi across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 2,804 Liga Profesional Argentina matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Profesional Argentina matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.7% of games this season, across 456 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Racing Club at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Aldosivi away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Racing Club, 0.78 for Aldosivi. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 7

~~Both scored~~2 of 7

~~Last meetings~~ALD 1–1 RAC · RAC 1–0 ALD · ALD 0–2 RAC · RAC 5–0 ALD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 5 Sept

RACING CLUB

LLWWLD1–2 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

ALDOSIVI

WLWLLL3–1 · 3–4 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 1–2

The table

2026 · Clausura - Group B

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Rosario Central	14	+11	28
2	Argentinos JRS	13	+6	25
3	Gimnasia L.P.	14	+3	25
4	Belgrano Cordoba	13	+4	22
5	Sarmiento Junin	14	+1	21
6	River Plate	13	+5	20
7	Barracas Central	13	+1	19
8	Huracan	14	−2	19
9	Independ. Rivadavia	13	−4	19
10	Atletico Tucuman	14	0	17
11	Banfield	14	−5	14
12	Tigre	14	−3	13
13	Racing Club	13	−6	12
14	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	13	−9	9
15	Aldosivi	13	−8	8