Independ. Rivadavia v Tigre

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Independ. Rivadavia win at 42%.
2. 15′Little has changed for our model: Independ. Rivadavia 42% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–34–26
3. 20′Independ. Rivadavia find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–18–8
4. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Independ. Rivadavia 1–0 Tigre
5. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
6. 21′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–8
7. 29′Alan Barrionuevo scores for Tigre on 26′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–38–25
8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 26' Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Tigre · Alan Barrionuevo (assist Jabes Saralegui)
9. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Ignacio Peluffo · Tigre
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 37% now
11. 37′Independ. Rivadavia have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 35–41–24
12. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Independ. Rivadavia win 35%)
13. 45′8 shots for Independ. Rivadavia, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 33–45–23
14. 45′HALF-TIME Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Tigre
15. 47′SECOND HALF Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Tigre
16. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
17. 51′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–48–21
18. 52′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–1 · 79–17–4
19. 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–17–4
20. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Independ. Rivadavia 2–1 Tigre
21. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 79% now
22. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Independ. Rivadavia win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
23. 53′52′: Jose Ignacio Florentin on the scoresheet for Independ. Rivadavia, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–4
24. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Tigre · On: Valentín Moreno · Off: Ignacio Peluffo
25. 55′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
26. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Iván Villalba · Independ. Rivadavia
27. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
28. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tigre · On: Manuel Fernández · Off: Santiago Gonzalez
29. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tigre · On: Mauro Méndez · Off: Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa Corrected
30. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Jabes Saralegui · Tigre
31. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Manuel Fernández · Tigre
32. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Independ. Rivadavia · On: Leonel Bucca · Off: Matías Fernández
33. 69′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
34. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Independ. Rivadavia · On: Tomas Bottari · Off: Luis Sequeira
35. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Joaquín Laso · Tigre
36. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Tigre · On: Mauro Méndez · Off: Ignacio Russo
37. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Tigre · On: Juan Villalba · Off: Joaquín Laso
38. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Independ. Rivadavia · On: Victorio Ramis · Off: Matías Reali
39. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Independ. Rivadavia · On: Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta · Off: Fabrizio Sartori Prieto
40. 78′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
41. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Tigre · On: Ian Subiabre · Off: Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa
42. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
43. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Independ. Rivadavia · On: Kevin Vázquez · Off: Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta
44. 85′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
45. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Juan Elordi · Independ. Rivadavia
46. 93′Tigre level it on 90′ through Ian Subiabre. 2–2. 2–2 · 2–96–2
47. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre · Ian Subiabre
48. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Independ. Rivadavia win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
49. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Independ. Rivadavia win 2%)
50. 94′We said Independ. Rivadavia at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–2 · 1–98–1
51. 94′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 1–98–1
52. FTFULL TIME Independ. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre
53. FTIndepend. Rivadavia 2–2 Tigre · Independ. Rivadavia win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.