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Huracan v Gimnasia L.P.
Huracan
Gimnasia L.P.Liga Profesional Argentina · FRI 16 OCT · Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Huracan win at 44%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Huracan v Gimnasia L.P.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Huracan was 44% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–31–24
- 6′Huracan find the net on 5′. 0–0 · 44–32–24
- 18′We said Huracan at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–26–59
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Huracan 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Huracan win: 44% at kick-off, 15% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Gimnasia L.P. win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Huracan win 15%)
- 19′18′: Ignacio Fernández on the scoresheet for Gimnasia L.P., making it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–26–59
- 21′We said Huracan at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
- 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Huracan win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
- 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Oscar Cortes · Huracan
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 12–26–62
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Leonardo Gil · Huracan
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Rodrigo Fernández · Huracan
- 41′We said Huracan at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
- 45′HALF-TIME Huracan 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
- 46′SECOND HALF Huracan 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Huracan · On: Ignacio Pussetto · Off: Leonardo Gil
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Huracan · On: Thaiel Peralta · Off: Facundo Kalinger di Napoli
- 61′We said Huracan at 44%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Huracan win: 44% at kick-off, 4% now
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Gimnasia L.P. · On: Augusto Max · Off: Lucas Janson
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Facundo Waller · Huracan
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Jordy Caicedo · Huracan
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Huracan · On: Juan Francisco Bisanz · Off: Oscar Cortes
- 78′Huracan have had 14 attempts to 9 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 1–12–87
- 80′Huracan have had 16 attempts to 9 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 1–10–89
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Huracan 1–1 Gimnasia L.P.
- 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Gimnasia L.P. win 5%)
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Harlen Castillo · Gimnasia L.P.
- 85′Huracan level it on 83′ through Jordy Caicedo. 1–1. 1–1 · 7–89–4
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Gimnasia L.P. · On: Franco Ramón Torres · Off: Marcelo Torres
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Huracan · On: Lautaro Iván Mora · Off: Facundo Waller
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Huracan · On: Bruno Barticciotto · Off: Juan Francisco Bisanz
- 97′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Lucas Blondel · Huracan
- 98′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–1–99
- 98′⚽ GOAL · 90+8' Huracan 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.
- 98′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+8' Gimnasia L.P. win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
- 99′Germán Conti scores for Gimnasia L.P. on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
- FTFULL TIME Huracan 1–2 Gimnasia L.P.
- FTHuracan 1–2 Gimnasia L.P. · Huracan win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassHuracan are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Huracan 44%, draw 33%, Gimnasia L.P. 23%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Huracan win44%
Gimnasia L.P. win23%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 00:00
RoundClausura · matchday 13
VenueEstadio Tomas Adolfo Duco
RefereeNicolas Ramirez
Match timeline
All events
HuracanMIN
Gimnasia L.P.Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Huracan
4-2-3-1
Gimnasia L.P.
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Huracan
Gimnasia L.P.
Last match: 10 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina
Last match: 9 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Huracan
4-2-3-1
1 H. Galindez
2 L. Blondel
6 F. Pereyra
35 M. Palazzo
25 C. Ibanez
5 Rodrigo Fernandez
15 F. F. Waller Martiarena
7 O. Cortes
8 L. Gil
24 F. Kalinger
9 J. Caicedo
Coach · Diego Martinez
Substitutes
32 · S. Meza
4 · F. Vera
21 · H. Nervo
19 · L. Lescano
46 · F. Martinez
20 · E. Ojeda
11 · T. Peralta
10 · O. Romero
41 · L. Mora
23 · I. Pussetto
33 · B. Barticciotto
17 · J. Bisanz
Gimnasia L.P.
4-4-2
15 H. Castillo
25 A. Steimbach
13 German Conti
21 E. Martinez
24 P. Silva Torrejon
8 N. Fernandez
5 I. Miramon
18 M. Seoane
17 L. Janson
29 A. Auzmendi
32 M. Torres
Coach · Ariel Pereyra
Substitutes
23 · N. Insfran
22 · M. Melluso
35 · J. Cortazzo
4 · R. Giampaoli
16 · A. Max
10 · N. Schelotto
34 · L. Troncoso
33 · P. Aguiar
40 · A. Martinez
9 · M. Zalazar
7 · M. Panaro
26 · F. Torres
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Huracan
4-2-3-1
1 H. Galindez
2 L. Blondel
6 F. Pereyra
35 M. Palazzo
25 C. Ibanez
5 Rodrigo Fernandez
15 F. F. Waller Martiarena
7 O. Cortes
8 L. Gil
24 F. Kalinger
9 J. Caicedo
Coach · Diego Martinez
Substitutes
32 · S. Meza
4 · F. Vera
21 · H. Nervo
19 · L. Lescano
46 · F. Martinez
20 · E. Ojeda
11 · T. Peralta
10 · O. Romero
41 · L. Mora
23 · I. Pussetto
33 · B. Barticciotto
17 · J. Bisanz
Gimnasia L.P.
4-4-2
15 H. Castillo
25 A. Steimbach
13 German Conti
21 E. Martinez
24 P. Silva Torrejon
8 N. Fernandez
5 I. Miramon
18 M. Seoane
17 L. Janson
29 A. Auzmendi
32 M. Torres
Coach · Ariel Pereyra
Substitutes
23 · N. Insfran
22 · M. Melluso
35 · J. Cortazzo
4 · R. Giampaoli
16 · A. Max
10 · N. Schelotto
34 · L. Troncoso
33 · P. Aguiar
40 · A. Martinez
9 · M. Zalazar
7 · M. Panaro
26 · F. Torres
We make Huracan a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Huracan win | 44% | 39% | +5 |
| Draw | 33% | 31% | +2 |
| Gimnasia L.P. win | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 39% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 46% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 64% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 20% | −7 |
| Huracan or draw | 77% | 71% | +6 |
| Huracan clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| Gimnasia L.P. clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 29 Aug
HURACAN
GIMNASIA L.P.
The table
2026 · Clausura - Group B| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 12 | +8 | 22 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 12 | +5 | 22 |
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 | Huracan | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 12 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independ. Rivadavia | 12 | −4 | 18 |
| 9 | River Plate | 12 | +2 | 17 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | −4 | 13 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | −2 | 12 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | −6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | −7 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 12 | −10 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
Argentinos JRS
Sarmiento Junin
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
Banfield
Tigre
Racing Club
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto