Gimnasia M. v Platense

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gimnasia M. win at 42%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Gimnasia M. 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–32–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gimnasia M. v Platense
4. 10′We said Gimnasia M. at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–17–8
5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense
6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Gimnasia M. win: 42% at kick-off, 74% now
7. 11′Gimnasia M. ahead on 10′ through Agustín Módica. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–17–8
8. 12′We said Gimnasia M. at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–6
10. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Ivan Gómez · Platense
11. 33′10 shots for Platense, 5 the other way, and they still trail 1–0. 1–0 · 76–18–6
12. 38′Gonzalo Lencina scores for Platense on 37′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–43–23
13. 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Gimnasia M. 1–1 Platense · Gonzalo Lencina
14. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Gimnasia M. win: 42% at kick-off, 34% now
15. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Gimnasia M. win 77%)
16. 39′12 shots for Platense, 6 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 34–43–23
17. 40′GOAL DISALLOWED · 37' Gonzalo Lencina · Platense
18. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Gimnasia M. win: 42% at kick-off, 77% now
19. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Gimnasia M. win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 44%)
20. 45′HALF-TIME Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense
21. 46′SECOND HALF Gimnasia M. 1–0 Platense
22. 52′We said Gimnasia M. at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
23. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Gimnasia M. win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
24. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Platense · On: Franco Zapiola Yamartino · Off: Bautista Merlini
25. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Platense · On: Maximiliano Amarfil · Off: Ivan Gómez
26. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Gimnasia M. · On: Matías Vargas · Off: Luciano César Cingolani
27. 67′We said Gimnasia M. at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
28. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Diego Mondino · Gimnasia M.
29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Platense · On: Guido Mainero · Off: Kevin Retamar
30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Gimnasia M. · On: Blas Armoa Nunez · Off: Agustín Módica
31. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Platense · On: Agustin Lagos · Off: Juan Ignacio Saborido
32. 75′16 shots for Platense, 11 the other way, and they still trail 1–0. 1–0 · 89–10–1
33. 77′We said Gimnasia M. at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
34. 80′Juan Carlos Gauto scores for Platense on 79′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 11–81–8
35. 80′We said Gimnasia M. at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 1–1 · 11–81–8
36. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Gimnasia M. 1–1 Platense · Juan Carlos Gauto
37. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Gimnasia M. win: 42% at kick-off, 11% now
38. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Gimnasia M. win 91%)
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Platense · On: Bruno Christian Sepulveda · Off: Gonzalo Lencina
40. 83′We said Gimnasia M. at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–86–6
41. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Gimnasia M. · On: Valentino Simoni · Off: Facundo Lencioni
42. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Gimnasia M. · On: Martín Úbeda · Off: Esteban Fernández
43. 87′20 shots for Platense, 12 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 5–91–4
44. 89′We said Gimnasia M. at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
45. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Gimnasia M. win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
46. 94′90′: Bruno Christian Sepulveda on the scoresheet for Platense, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
47. 94′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–1–99
48. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Gimnasia M. 1–2 Platense · Bruno Christian Sepulveda
49. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Platense win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
50. FTFULL TIME Gimnasia M. 1–2 Platense
51. FTGimnasia M. 1–2 Platense · Gimnasia M. win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.