Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Estudiantes L.P. win at 45%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Estudiantes L.P. v San Lorenzo
3. 1′Much as we predicted: Estudiantes L.P. was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–33–22
4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' José Devecchi · San Lorenzo
5. 14′We published Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–16–6
6. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 San Lorenzo
7. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Estudiantes L.P. win: 45% at kick-off, 78% now
8. 15′Estudiantes L.P. ahead on 14′ through Edwuin Cetre. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–6
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–4
10. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Gastón Benedetti · Estudiantes L.P.
11. 32′We published Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
12. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Miguel Monsalve · Estudiantes L.P.
13. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Guzman corujo · San Lorenzo
14. 44′Guzman corujo scores for San Lorenzo on 44′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 34–48–19
15. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 San Lorenzo · Guzman corujo
16. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Estudiantes L.P. win: 45% at kick-off, 34% now
17. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Estudiantes L.P. win 34%)
18. 45′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–48–19
19. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Estudiantes L.P. win: 45% at kick-off, 33% now
20. 45′HALF-TIME Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 San Lorenzo
21. 46′7 shots for San Lorenzo, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 33–48–19
22. 46′SECOND HALF Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 San Lorenzo
23. 54′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–54–17
24. 57′San Lorenzo have had 8 attempts to 1 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 28–56–16
25. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' San Lorenzo · On: Enzo Alan Salas · Off: Agustín Ladstatter
26. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Estudiantes L.P. · On: Tiago Palacios · Off: Joaquín Correa
27. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Estudiantes L.P. · On: Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez · Off: José Sosa
28. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Estudiantes L.P. win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
29. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Estudiantes L.P. · On: Eros Nazareno Mancuso · Off: Tiago Tomas Palacios
30. 63′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–61–14
31. 71′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
32. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Estudiantes L.P. · On: Guido Carrillo · Off: Miguel Monsalve
33. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Estudiantes L.P. win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
34. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Bautista Kociubinski · Estudiantes L.P.
35. 77′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–8
36. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Guido Carrillo · Estudiantes L.P.
37. 78′San Lorenzo have had 12 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 13–79–8
38. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Estudiantes L.P. · On: Adolfo Gaich · Off: Lucas Alario
39. 82′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
40. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' San Lorenzo · On: Martín Rio · Off: Facundo Farías
41. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Martín Rio · San Lorenzo
42. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez · Estudiantes L.P.
43. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Estudiantes L.P. win: 45% at kick-off, 5% now
44. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' San Lorenzo · On: Gustavo Del Prete · Off: Rodrigo Auzmendi
45. 89′We said Estudiantes L.P. at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
46. 95′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–1–99
47. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 San Lorenzo
48. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' San Lorenzo win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
49. 97′90′: Facundo Gulli on the scoresheet for San Lorenzo, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
50. FTFULL TIME Estudiantes L.P. 1–2 San Lorenzo
51. FTEstudiantes L.P. 1–2 San Lorenzo · Estudiantes L.P. win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.