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Boca Juniors v Talleres Cordoba

Boca Juniors
2–1Full time
Talleres Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina · SAT 17 OCT · Alberto J. Armando

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 04:05
Boca Juniors 2–1 Talleres Cordoba BOCA JUNIORS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Boca Juniors win55%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.311
The market’s Brier score0.229

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Boca Juniors win at 55%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Boca Juniors 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–29–17
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Boca Juniors v Talleres Cordoba
  4. 11′Talleres Cordoba ahead on 11′ through Federico Fattori. 0–1. 0–1 · 26–27–47
  5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Boca Juniors 0–1 Talleres Cordoba · Federico Fattori
  6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Boca Juniors win: 55% at kick-off, 26% now
  7. 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Talleres Cordoba win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Boca Juniors win 26%)
  8. 12′We said Boca Juniors at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–27–48
  9. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Boca Juniors win: 55% at kick-off, 25% now
  10. 16′We said Boca Juniors at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
  11. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Boca Juniors 1–1 Talleres Cordoba
  12. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Boca Juniors win: 55% at kick-off, 51% now
  13. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Boca Juniors win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Talleres Cordoba win 17%)
  14. 19′Miguel Merentiel scores for Boca Juniors on 18′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 50–33–17
  15. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Milton Delgado · Boca Juniors
  16. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Boca Juniors win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
  17. 40′We said Boca Juniors at 55%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–41–16
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Boca Juniors 1–1 Talleres Cordoba
  19. 45′SECOND HALF Boca Juniors 1–1 Talleres Cordoba
  20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Boca Juniors · On: Dylan Gorosito · Off: Leandro Lozano
  21. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Boca Juniors win 40%)
  22. 49′We said Boca Juniors at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  23. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Boca Juniors 2–1 Talleres Cordoba
  24. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Boca Juniors win: 55% at kick-off, 85% now
  25. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Boca Juniors win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
  26. 50′49′: Leonel Flores on the scoresheet for Boca Juniors, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  27. 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  28. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Talleres Cordoba · On: Diego Valoyes · Off: Rick Lima
  29. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Talleres Cordoba · On: Mateo Caceres · Off: Giovanni Baroni
  30. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Diego Valoyes · Talleres Cordoba
  31. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Talleres Cordoba · On: Valentín Dávila · Off: Federico Fattori
  32. 71′We said Boca Juniors at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
  33. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Boca Juniors · On: Carlos Palacios · Off: Leonel Flores Corrected
  34. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Boca Juniors · On: Carlos Palacios · Off: Ángel Romero
  35. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Boca Juniors · On: Enner Valencia · Off: Miguel Merentiel
  36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Talleres Cordoba · On: Emiliano Miguel Chiavassa · Off: Valentin Depietri
  37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Talleres Cordoba · On: Timoteo Chamorro · Off: Augusto Schott
  38. 82′We said Boca Juniors at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
  39. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Boca Juniors win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
  40. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Boca Juniors · On: Rodrigo Alexander Bacidalupe · Off: Leonel Flores
  41. 90′2–1 at the end. Our 55% on Boca Juniors comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
  42. FTFULL TIME Boca Juniors 2–1 Talleres Cordoba
  43. FTBoca Juniors 2–1 Talleres Cordoba · Boca Juniors win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Boca Juniors are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Boca Juniors 55%, draw 28%, Talleres Cordoba 17%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Boca Juniors v Talleres CordobaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Boca Juniors win55%
Draw28%
Talleres Cordoba win17%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 01:30

RoundClausura · matchday 13

VenueAlberto J. Armando

RefereeLuis Lobo Medina

Line-ups

Boca Juniors

4-3-3

Talleres Cordoba

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Boca Juniors

Talleres Cordoba

3Days since last match5

Last match: 14 Oct · CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Last match: 12 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026 · Clausura - Group A

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Boca Juniors12+621
15Talleres Cordoba12−79

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Boca Juniors

4-3-3

1 A. Montero

17 L. Lozano

2 L. Di Lollo

32 A. Costa

3 L. Blanco

25 S. Ascacibar

6 R. Battaglia

18 M. Delgado

11 Angel Romero

16 Miguel Merentiel

19 L. Flores

Coach · Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Substitutes

12 · L. Brey

4 · J. Figal

26 · M. Pellegrino

24 · D. Gorosito

42 · F. Herrera

27 · M. Braida

7 · Carlos Palacios

15 · W. H. Alarcon Cepeda

53 · J. Ruiz

13 · E. Valencia

9 · M. Gimenez

44 · R. Bacidalupe

Talleres Cordoba

4-2-3-1

32 E. Unsain

20 A. Schott

4 M. Catalan

6 R. D. Riquelme

23 G. Baez Corradi

8 F. Fattori

5 M. A. Galarza

37 Rick

10 G. Baroni

11 V. Depietri

9 A. Alvarez

Coach · Omar De Felippe

Substitutes

1 · S. Barbi

13 · V. Fascendini

44 · S. Fernandez

3 · A. Maidana

2 · T. Chamorro

39 · L. Ortiz

15 · J. Sforza

26 · M. Caceres

27 · J. Gallard

49 · V. Davila

7 · D. Valoyes

36 · E. Chiavassa

Our number · boca juniors winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
55% The market61%
Us55%
Market61%

We make Boca Juniors a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Boca Juniors v Talleres Cordoba1.49 – 0.70
Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 29 AugW4 D2 L0 · W1 D2 L3
Table places · points 21 v 93 v 15
The market · Boca Juniors win61% · ours 55%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 12 OCT 03:5917 OCT 00:51
Our probability · Boca Juniors win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 58% to 61% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Boca Juniors win55%61%−6
Draw28%24%+4
Talleres Cordoba win17%14%+3
Over 2.5 goals37%45%−8
Both teams to score40%44%−4
Over 1.5 goals65%69%−4
Over 3.5 goals18%25%−7
Boca Juniors or draw83%86%−3
Boca Juniors clean sheet50%––
Talleres Cordoba clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.6%
0123450 12.4 6.9 2.8 1 15.6 12.6 4.1 2 12.3 8.6 3.0 3 6.1 4.3 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Boca Juniors down, Talleres Cordoba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting1.40
Over 2.52 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsTAL 0–1 BOC · BOC 2–0 TAL · BOC 1–1 TAL · BOC 0–0 TAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Profesional Argentina this season · since 29 Aug

BOCA JUNIORS

WDWWWD1–0 · 2–2 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 2–2

TALLERES CORDOBA

DLWLLD0–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026 · Clausura - Group A
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Instituto Cordoba12+926
2Defensa Y Justicia12+724
3Boca Juniors12+621
4Velez Sarsfield12+421
5Lanus12+620
6Gimnasia M.12+320
7Independiente12−118
8Newells Old Boys12+217
9Estudiantes L.P.12+214
10San Lorenzo12−614
11Union Santa Fe12−413
12Deportivo Riestra12−311
13Platense12−611
14Central Cordoba de Santiago12−610
15Talleres Cordoba12−79

The competition's standings before kick-off.