Home › Football › Copa Argentina › Atletico Tucuman v Platense
Back
Atletico Tucuman v Platense
Atletico TucumanPlatenseCopa Argentina · THU 29 OCT · Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Atletico Tucuman are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Atletico Tucuman 41%, draw 33%, Platense 26%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 40%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Atletico Tucuman win41%Platense win26%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 00:15
RoundSemi-finals
VenueEstadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Match timeline
All events
Atletico TucumanMINPlatenseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Atletico Tucuman
Platense
Last match: 24 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina
Last match: 23 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentina
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Atletico Tucuman a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman win | 41% | 31% | +10 |
| Draw | 33% | 32% | +1 |
| Platense win | 26% | 37% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 36% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 44% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 61% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 19% | −4 |
| Atletico Tucuman or draw | 74% | 63% | +11 |
| Atletico Tucuman clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Platense clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Copa Argentina this season · since 5 Feb
ATLETICO TUCUMAN
PLATENSE