Garden Stars v All Saints United prediction · Premier Division

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 03:35

Garden Stars 4–2 All Saints United ALL SAINTS UNITED WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said All Saints United win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.016

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

All Saints United are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Garden Stars 21%, draw 18%, All Saints United 61%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Garden Stars v All Saints UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 10:04 · locked at kick-off

Garden Stars win21%

Draw18%

All Saints United win61%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 22:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Garden Stars

All Saints United

6Days since last match5

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier Division (Antigua And Barbuda)

Last match: 12 Oct · Premier Division (Antigua And Barbuda)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Garden Stars	1	+1	3
5	All Saints United	1	−1	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · all saints united winFirst published 17 Oct 10:04 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make All Saints United a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Garden Stars v All Saints United~~1.32 – 2.36

~~Form · Premier Division this season · since 11 Oct~~W1 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 0~~3 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Garden Stars win	21%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
All Saints United win	61%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Garden Stars or draw	39%	–	–
Garden Stars clean sheet	10%	–	–
All Saints United clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.9%

0123450 2.3 6.8 7.1 5.5 3.3 1 4.1 7.4 8.9 6.9 4.1 2.02 2.3 5.1 5.8 4.5 2.7 3 2.3 2.6 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Garden Stars down, All Saints United across0–5 goals a side shown (95.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 402 Premier Division matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.83 goals a meeting; 6 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Garden Stars at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). All Saints United away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Garden Stars, 2.36 for All Saints United. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.83

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~GAR 0–3 ALL · ALL 2–2 GAR · ALL 3–1 GAR · GAR 1–3 ALL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier Division this season · since 11 Oct

GARDEN STARS

W2–1

ALL SAINTS UNITED

L1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Potters Tigers	1	+3	3
2	Grenades	1	+3	3
3	Garden Stars	1	+1	3
4	Hoppers	1	+1	3
5	All Saints United	1	−1	0
6	Pigotts Bullets	1	−1	0
7	Old Road	1	−3	0
8	Freemansville	1	−3	0