Sporting de Cabinda v Kabuscorp prediction · Girabola

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sporting de CabindaDrawKabuscorp

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kabuscorp 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kabuscorp are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sporting de Cabinda 27%, draw 34%, Kabuscorp 39%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Sporting de Cabinda v KabuscorpBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sporting de Cabinda win27%

Draw34%

Kabuscorp win39%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sporting de Cabinda

Kabuscorp

11Days since last match10

Last match: 17 Oct · Girabola

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	−5	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kabuscorp winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Kabuscorp a 39% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sporting de Cabinda v Kabuscorp~~0.80 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 26 Aug~~W0 D4 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 6~~15 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sporting de Cabinda win	27%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Kabuscorp win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	28%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	55%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
Sporting de Cabinda or draw	61%	–	–
Sporting de Cabinda clean sheet	36%	–	–
Kabuscorp clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.4%

0123450 17.4 15.4 8.5 3.0 1 11.8 14.0 6.6 2.3 2 5.2 5.2 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sporting de Cabinda down, Kabuscorp across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,193 Girabola matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.0% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sporting de Cabinda at home: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kabuscorp away: 0.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.80 goals for Sporting de Cabinda, 1.03 for Kabuscorp. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SPO 1–0 KAB · KAB 2–2 SPO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 26 Aug

SPORTING DE CABINDA

LLDDDD1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–0

KABUSCORP

DLWLDL1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14
4	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
5	Interclube	7	+3	13
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	+3	13
7	Recreativo do Libolo	7	−5	9
8	Sagrada Esperança	6	−1	8
9	São Salvador	7	−2	8
10	1º de Maio	7	0	8
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	−1	7
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	−2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
14	FC Luanda	7	−6	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	−5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	7	−9	2