Recreativo do Libolo v Interclube prediction · Girabola

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Recreativo do Libolo 0–1 Interclube INTERCLUBE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Interclube win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.613

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Interclube just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Recreativo do Libolo 31%, draw 33%, Interclube 36%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Recreativo do Libolo v InterclubeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Recreativo do Libolo win31%

Draw33%

Interclube win36%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Recreativo do Libolo

Interclube

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Girabola

Last match: 10 Oct · Girabola

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Interclube	6	+2	10
7	Recreativo do Libolo	6	−4	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · interclube winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Interclube a 36% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Recreativo do Libolo v Interclube~~0.93 – 1.03

~~Form · Girabola this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~7 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Recreativo do Libolo win	31%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Interclube win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	59%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Recreativo do Libolo or draw	64%	–	–
Recreativo do Libolo clean sheet	36%	–	–
Interclube clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.3%

0123450 15.3 13.5 7.5 2.6 1 12.0 14.3 6.9 2.4 2 6.1 6.2 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Recreativo do Libolo down, Interclube across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,187 Girabola matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 39.6% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Recreativo do Libolo at home: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Interclube away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.93 goals for Recreativo do Libolo, 1.03 for Interclube. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~INT 1–1 REC · REC 1–2 INT · INT 3–0 REC · REC 0–0 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Girabola this season · since 22 Aug

RECREATIVO DO LIBOLO

WLLWLW3–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 2–1

INTERCLUBE

WWLWLD1–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
4	Bravos do Maquis FC	6	+5	13
5	Interclube	6	+2	10
6	Desportivo Huíla	6	+1	10
7	Recreativo do Libolo	6	−4	9
8	1º de Maio	6	+1	8
9	Sagrada Esperança	5	−1	7
10	CD Lunda-Sul	6	−1	6
11	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
12	Recreativo da Caála	6	−2	5
13	São Salvador	6	−3	5
14	FC Luanda	6	−4	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	6	−5	3
16	Académica do Lobito	6	−9	1