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Petro de Luanda v Recreativo da Caála

Petro de Luanda

0–0Full time

Recreativo da Caála

Girabola · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 18:03

Petro de Luanda 0–0 Recreativo da Caála PETRO DE LUANDA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Petro de Luanda win~~72%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.168

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Petro de Luanda win72%

Draw20%

Recreativo da Caála win8%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 15:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · petro de luanda winPublished 9 Oct 15:22

72% The market–

Us72%

We make Petro de Luanda a 72% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Petro de Luanda win	72%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Recreativo da Caála win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	33%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Petro de Luanda or draw	92%	–	–
Petro de Luanda clean sheet	62%	–	–
Recreativo da Caála clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.3%

0123450 9.4 3.7 1 16.3 8.4 2 16.3 7.8 3 10.8 5.2 4 5.5 2.7 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Petro de Luanda down, Recreativo da Caála across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,178 Girabola matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.6% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Petro de Luanda at home: 2.33 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Recreativo da Caála away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for Petro de Luanda, 0.49 for Recreativo da Caála. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~REC 0–1 PET · PET 2–1 REC

Form · last six in Girabola

PETRO DE LUANDA

DDDWWW1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0

RECREATIVO DA CAÁLA

WDLWLL1–0 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	5	+11	15
2	1º de Agosto	5	+4	13
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	5	+5	12
4	Petro de Luanda	4	+6	10
5	Interclube	5	+2	9
6	Desportivo Huíla	5	+1	9
7	1º de Maio	5	+1	7
8	Sagrada Esperança	4	−1	6
9	Recreativo do Libolo	5	−5	6
10	CD Lunda-Sul	5	−1	5
11	Kabuscorp	5	−1	5
12	Recreativo da Caála	5	−2	4
13	FC Luanda	5	−3	4
14	São Salvador	5	−3	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	5	−5	2
16	Académica do Lobito	5	−9	0