FC Luanda v Recreativo do Libolo prediction · Girabola

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

FC Luanda 1–2 Recreativo do Libolo FC LUANDA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Luanda win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.818

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FC Luanda win at 43%.
1′KICK-OFF FC Luanda v Recreativo do Libolo
2′Much as we predicted: FC Luanda was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 0–0 · 44–29–27
5′Much as we predicted: FC Luanda was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
45′HALF-TIME FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
46′SECOND HALF FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' FC Luanda 0–1 Recreativo do Libolo
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' FC Luanda 1–1 Recreativo do Libolo
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' FC Luanda 1–2 Recreativo do Libolo
FTFULL TIME FC Luanda 1–2 Recreativo do Libolo
FTFC Luanda 1–2 Recreativo do Libolo · FC Luanda win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

FC Luanda win43%

Draw31%

Recreativo do Libolo win26%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

FC Luanda

Recreativo do Libolo

22Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Recreativo do Libolo	5	−5	6
13	FC Luanda	5	−3	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc luanda winPublished 11 Oct 15:30

43% The market–

Us43%

We make FC Luanda a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Luanda win	43%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Recreativo do Libolo win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
FC Luanda or draw	74%	–	–
FC Luanda clean sheet	41%	–	–
Recreativo do Libolo clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 13.0 9.8 4.9 1 13.5 13.5 5.8 2 8.9 7.8 3.5 3 3.8 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Luanda down, Recreativo do Libolo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,181 Girabola matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.5% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

FC Luanda at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Recreativo do Libolo away: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for FC Luanda, 0.91 for Recreativo do Libolo. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Girabola

FC LUANDA

DLWLL0–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–3

RECREATIVO DO LIBOLO

LWLLWL0–1 · 3–0 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	1º de Agosto	5	+4	13
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	5	+5	12
4	Petro de Luanda	5	+6	11
5	Interclube	6	+2	10
6	Desportivo Huíla	5	+1	9
7	1º de Maio	5	+1	7
8	Sagrada Esperança	5	−1	7
9	Kabuscorp	6	−1	6
10	Recreativo do Libolo	5	−5	6
11	CD Lunda-Sul	5	−1	5
12	Recreativo da Caála	6	−2	5
13	FC Luanda	5	−3	4
14	São Salvador	5	−3	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	5	−5	2
16	Académica do Lobito	5	−9	0