Desportivo Huíla v Recreativo do Libolo prediction · Girabola

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Desportivo HuílaDrawRecreativo do Libolo

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Desportivo Huíla 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Desportivo Huíla are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Desportivo Huíla 54%, draw 30%, Recreativo do Libolo 16%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Desportivo Huíla v Recreativo do LiboloBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Desportivo Huíla win54%

Draw30%

Recreativo do Libolo win16%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Desportivo Huíla

Recreativo do Libolo

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Girabola

Last match: 17 Oct · Girabola

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	+3	13
7	Recreativo do Libolo	7	−5	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · desportivo huíla winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Desportivo Huíla a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Desportivo Huíla v Recreativo do Libolo~~1.38 – 0.62

~~Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 26 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 13 v 9~~6 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Desportivo Huíla win	54%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Recreativo do Libolo win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Desportivo Huíla or draw	84%	–	–
Desportivo Huíla clean sheet	54%	–	–
Recreativo do Libolo clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.7%

0123450 14.8 7.4 2.6 1 17.7 12.4 3.5 2 12.8 7.8 2.4 3 5.9 3.6 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Desportivo Huíla down, Recreativo do Libolo across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,195 Girabola matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Desportivo Huíla at home: 1.17 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Recreativo do Libolo away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Desportivo Huíla, 0.62 for Recreativo do Libolo. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DES 1–0 REC · REC 2–1 DES · DES 1–0 REC · REC 2–1 DES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 26 Aug

DESPORTIVO HUÍLA

WLWWDW2–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

RECREATIVO DO LIBOLO

LLWLWL0–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14
4	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
5	Interclube	7	+3	13
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	+3	13
7	Recreativo do Libolo	7	−5	9
8	Sagrada Esperança	6	−1	8
9	São Salvador	7	−2	8
10	1º de Maio	7	0	8
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	−1	7
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	−2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
14	FC Luanda	7	−6	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	−5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	7	−9	2