CD Lunda-Sul v Sporting de Cabinda prediction · Girabola

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

CD Lunda-Sul 0–0 Sporting de Cabinda CD LUNDA-SUL WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CD Lunda-Sul win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.894

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

CD Lunda-Sul win58%

Draw27%

Sporting de Cabinda win14%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

CD Lunda-Sul

Sporting de Cabinda

20Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	CD Lunda-Sul	5	−1	5
15	Sporting de Cabinda	5	−5	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cd lunda-sul winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

58% The market–

Us58%

We make CD Lunda-Sul a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CD Lunda-Sul win	58%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Sporting de Cabinda win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
CD Lunda-Sul or draw	86%	–	–
CD Lunda-Sul clean sheet	54%	–	–
Sporting de Cabinda clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.0%

0123450 12.7 6.6 2.3 1 17.0 11.6 3.4 2 13.5 8.1 2.5 3 7.0 4.2 4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CD Lunda-Sul down, Sporting de Cabinda across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,181 Girabola matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.5% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 2.20 goals a meeting; 2 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CD Lunda-Sul at home: 0.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sporting de Cabinda away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for CD Lunda-Sul, 0.62 for Sporting de Cabinda. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~SPO 2–1 CDL · CDL 2–0 SPO · SPO 1–0 CDL · CDL 1–1 SPO

Form · last six in Girabola

CD LUNDA-SUL

DDDLWL1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1

SPORTING DE CABINDA

LLLLDD0–1 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	1º de Agosto	5	+4	13
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	5	+5	12
4	Petro de Luanda	5	+6	11
5	Interclube	6	+2	10
6	Desportivo Huíla	5	+1	9
7	1º de Maio	5	+1	7
8	Sagrada Esperança	5	−1	7
9	Kabuscorp	6	−1	6
10	Recreativo do Libolo	5	−5	6
11	CD Lunda-Sul	5	−1	5
12	Recreativo da Caála	6	−2	5
13	FC Luanda	5	−3	4
14	São Salvador	5	−3	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	5	−5	2
16	Académica do Lobito	5	−9	0