CD Lunda-Sul v Interclube prediction · Girabola

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CD Lunda-SulDrawInterclube

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: CD Lunda-Sul 33%, draw 36%, Interclube 30%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on CD Lunda-Sul v InterclubeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

CD Lunda-Sul win33%

Draw36%

Interclube win30%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CD Lunda-Sul

Interclube

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Girabola

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Interclube	7	+3	13
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	−1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make the draw a 36% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CD Lunda-Sul v Interclube~~0.88 – 0.82

~~Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 28 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 13~~11 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CD Lunda-Sul win	33%	–	–
Draw	36%	–	–
Interclube win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	52%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
CD Lunda-Sul or draw	70%	–	–
CD Lunda-Sul clean sheet	44%	–	–
Interclube clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.6%

0123450 19.6 13.9 6.2 1 14.9 14.1 5.4 2 7.1 5.7 2.4 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CD Lunda-Sul down, Interclube across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,195 Girabola matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.90 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CD Lunda-Sul at home: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Interclube away: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.88 goals for CD Lunda-Sul, 0.82 for Interclube. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.90

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~INT 1–1 CDL · CDL 1–1 INT · CDL 0–1 INT · INT 0–1 CDL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 28 Aug

CD LUNDA-SUL

DLWLDD1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

INTERCLUBE

WLWLDW2–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14
4	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
5	Interclube	7	+3	13
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	+3	13
7	Sagrada Esperança	7	+2	11
8	Recreativo do Libolo	7	−5	9
9	São Salvador	7	−2	8
10	1º de Maio	8	−3	8
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	−1	7
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	−2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
14	FC Luanda	8	−6	5
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	−5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	8	−9	3