Bravos do Maquis FC v Petro de Luanda prediction · Girabola

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bravos do Maquis FCDrawPetro de Luanda

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Petro de Luanda 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Petro de Luanda are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bravos do Maquis FC 22%, draw 32%, Petro de Luanda 46%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Bravos do Maquis FC v Petro de LuandaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Bravos do Maquis FC win22%

Draw32%

Petro de Luanda win46%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bravos do Maquis FC

Petro de Luanda

10Days since last match4

Last match: 17 Oct · Girabola

Last match: 23 Oct · CAF Champions League

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · petro de luanda winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Petro de Luanda a 46% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bravos do Maquis FC v Petro de Luanda~~0.76 – 1.21

~~Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 21 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 14~~3 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bravos do Maquis FC win	22%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Petro de Luanda win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC or draw	54%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC clean sheet	30%	–	–
Petro de Luanda clean sheet	47%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.7%

0123450 15.1 15.7 10.2 4.2 1 9.6 13.7 7.6 3.1 2 4.1 4.9 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bravos do Maquis FC down, Petro de Luanda across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,193 Girabola matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.0% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bravos do Maquis FC at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Petro de Luanda away: 1.00 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.76 goals for Bravos do Maquis FC, 1.21 for Petro de Luanda. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BRA 0–3 PET · PET 2–1 BRA · PET 1–1 BRA · BRA 0–2 PET

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 21 Aug

BRAVOS DO MAQUIS FC

WLWWDD1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–0

PETRO DE LUANDA

DWWWDW0–0 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14
4	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
5	Interclube	7	+3	13
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	+3	13
7	Recreativo do Libolo	7	−5	9
8	Sagrada Esperança	6	−1	8
9	São Salvador	7	−2	8
10	1º de Maio	7	0	8
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	−1	7
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	−2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
14	FC Luanda	7	−6	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	−5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	7	−9	2