Bravos do Maquis FC v CD Lunda-Sul prediction · Girabola

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Bravos do Maquis FC 0–0 CD Lunda-Sul BRAVOS DO MAQUIS FC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bravos do Maquis FC win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.728

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bravos do Maquis FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bravos do Maquis FC 49%, draw 32%, CD Lunda-Sul 19%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Bravos do Maquis FC v CD Lunda-SulBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bravos do Maquis FC win49%

Draw32%

CD Lunda-Sul win19%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bravos do Maquis FC

CD Lunda-Sul

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Girabola

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Bravos do Maquis FC	6	+5	13
10	CD Lunda-Sul	6	−1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bravos do maquis fc winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Bravos do Maquis FC a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bravos do Maquis FC v CD Lunda-Sul~~1.20 – 0.64

~~Form · Girabola this season · since 21 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 6~~4 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bravos do Maquis FC win	49%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
CD Lunda-Sul win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	28%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	56%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC or draw	81%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC clean sheet	53%	–	–
CD Lunda-Sul clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.1%

0123450 17.0 9.2 3.3 1 18.1 13.0 3.9 2 11.4 7.2 2.3 3 4.6 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bravos do Maquis FC down, CD Lunda-Sul across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,187 Girabola matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 39.6% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bravos do Maquis FC at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). CD Lunda-Sul away: 0.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Bravos do Maquis FC, 0.64 for CD Lunda-Sul. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CDL 1–0 BRA · BRA 3–1 CDL · CDL 1–1 BRA · BRA 0–0 CDL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Girabola this season · since 21 Aug

BRAVOS DO MAQUIS FC

WWLWWD3–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

CD LUNDA-SUL

DDLWLD0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
4	Bravos do Maquis FC	6	+5	13
5	Interclube	6	+2	10
6	Desportivo Huíla	6	+1	10
7	Recreativo do Libolo	6	−4	9
8	1º de Maio	6	+1	8
9	Sagrada Esperança	5	−1	7
10	CD Lunda-Sul	6	−1	6
11	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
12	Recreativo da Caála	6	−2	5
13	São Salvador	6	−3	5
14	FC Luanda	6	−4	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	6	−5	3
16	Académica do Lobito	6	−9	1