Académica do Lobito v Bravos do Maquis FC prediction · Girabola

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Académica do LobitoDrawBravos do Maquis FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Académica do Lobito 30%, draw 36%, Bravos do Maquis FC 34%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Académica do Lobito v Bravos do Maquis FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Académica do Lobito win30%

Draw36%

Bravos do Maquis FC win34%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 14:30

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Académica do Lobito

Bravos do Maquis FC

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Girabola

Last match: 17 Oct · Girabola

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14
16	Académica do Lobito	8	−9	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make the draw a 36% chance. The model expects 0.8–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Académica do Lobito v Bravos do Maquis FC~~0.84 – 0.92

~~Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 31 Aug~~W0 D3 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 14~~16 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Académica do Lobito win	30%	–	–
Draw	36%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
Académica do Lobito or draw	66%	–	–
Académica do Lobito clean sheet	40%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.5%

0123450 18.5 14.6 7.2 2.2 1 13.4 14.3 6.0 2 6.1 5.6 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Académica do Lobito down, Bravos do Maquis FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,195 Girabola matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.70 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Académica do Lobito at home: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bravos do Maquis FC away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.84 goals for Académica do Lobito, 0.92 for Bravos do Maquis FC. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BRA 1–0 ACA · ACA 1–0 BRA · BRA 0–0 ACA · ACA 0–0 BRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Girabola this season · since 31 Aug

ACADÉMICA DO LOBITO

LLLDDD0–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

BRAVOS DO MAQUIS FC

WLWWDD1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	+7	14
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	7	+5	14
4	1º de Agosto	6	+4	14
5	Interclube	7	+3	13
6	Desportivo Huíla	7	+3	13
7	Sagrada Esperança	7	+2	11
8	Recreativo do Libolo	7	−5	9
9	São Salvador	7	−2	8
10	1º de Maio	8	−3	8
11	CD Lunda-Sul	7	−1	7
12	Recreativo da Caála	7	−2	6
13	Kabuscorp	7	−2	6
14	FC Luanda	8	−6	5
15	Sporting de Cabinda	7	−5	4
16	Académica do Lobito	8	−9	3