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1º de Maio v Bravos do Maquis FC

1º de Maio

2–2Full time

Bravos do Maquis FC

Girabola · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

1º de Maio 2–2 Bravos do Maquis FC 1º DE MAIO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said 1º de Maio win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.682

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 41 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said 1º de Maio win at 36%.
1′Little has changed for our model: 1º de Maio 36% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–31–32
1′KICK-OFF 1º de Maio v Bravos do Maquis FC
4′Little has changed for our model: 1º de Maio 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–32–32
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' 1º de Maio 0–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
18′We said 1º de Maio at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–23–66
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' 1º de Maio win: 36% at kick-off, 11% now
19′THE CALL SWINGS · 19' Bravos do Maquis FC win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was 1º de Maio win 11%)
19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' 1º de Maio win: 36% at kick-off, 36% now
20′We said 1º de Maio at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–23–66
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' 1º de Maio win: 36% at kick-off, 11% now
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' 1º de Maio win: 36% at kick-off, 36% now
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
24′⚽ GOAL · 24' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
27′⚽ GOAL · 27' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
30′⚽ GOAL · 30' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' 1º de Maio win: 36% at kick-off, 11% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Bravos do Maquis FC win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was 1º de Maio win 11%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' 1º de Maio win: 36% at kick-off, 11% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Bravos do Maquis FC win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was 1º de Maio win 11%)
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
45′HALF-TIME 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
46′SECOND HALF 1º de Maio 1–1 Bravos do Maquis FC
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
65′⚽ GOAL · 65' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
67′⚽ GOAL · 67' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' 1º de Maio 1–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' 1º de Maio 2–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
FTFULL TIME 1º de Maio 2–2 Bravos do Maquis FC
FT1º de Maio 2–2 Bravos do Maquis FC · 1º de Maio win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

1º de Maio win36%

Draw33%

Bravos do Maquis FC win32%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

1º de Maio

Bravos do Maquis FC

20Days since last match21

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	5	+5	12
7	1º de Maio	5	+1	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 1º de maio winPublished 11 Oct 15:30

36% The market–

Us36%

We make 1º de Maio a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
1º de Maio win	36%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
1º de Maio or draw	68%	–	–
1º de Maio clean sheet	39%	–	–
Bravos do Maquis FC clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 14.8%

0123450 14.8 12.1 6.3 2.0 1 13.2 14.2 6.3 2.1 2 7.3 6.9 3.3 3 2.6 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+1º de Maio down, Bravos do Maquis FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,181 Girabola matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.5% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

1º de Maio at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bravos do Maquis FC away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for 1º de Maio, 0.96 for Bravos do Maquis FC. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ODE 0–1 BRA · BRA 5–1 ODE

Form · last six in Girabola

1º DE MAIO

DDLWLW1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–0

BRAVOS DO MAQUIS FC

LWWLWW0–2 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	6	+11	16
2	1º de Agosto	5	+4	13
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	5	+5	12
4	Petro de Luanda	5	+6	11
5	Interclube	6	+2	10
6	Desportivo Huíla	5	+1	9
7	1º de Maio	5	+1	7
8	Sagrada Esperança	5	−1	7
9	Kabuscorp	6	−1	6
10	Recreativo do Libolo	5	−5	6
11	CD Lunda-Sul	5	−1	5
12	Recreativo da Caála	6	−2	5
13	FC Luanda	5	−3	4
14	São Salvador	5	−3	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	5	−5	2
16	Académica do Lobito	5	−9	0