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1º de Agosto v Wiliete

1º de Agosto

–Postponed

Wiliete

Girabola · WED 14 OCT

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

1º de Agosto win48%

Draw29%

Wiliete win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

WED 14 OCT · 15:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 1º de agosto winPublished 10 Oct 03:01

48% The market–

Us48%

We make 1º de Agosto a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
1º de Agosto win	48%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Wiliete win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
1º de Agosto or draw	77%	–	–
1º de Agosto clean sheet	42%	–	–
Wiliete clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%

0123450 11.2 8.4 4.0 1 13.7 13.2 5.5 2 10.0 8.6 3.8 3 4.7 4.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+1º de Agosto down, Wiliete across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,178 Girabola matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Girabola matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.6% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

1º de Agosto at home: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Wiliete away: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for 1º de Agosto, 0.88 for Wiliete. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ODE 1–1 WIL · WIL 2–2 ODE · ODE 0–0 WIL · WIL 1–0 ODE

Form · last six in Girabola

1º DE AGOSTO

DWWWDW1–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–2

WILIETE

DWWWWW1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Wiliete	5	+11	15
2	1º de Agosto	5	+4	13
3	Bravos do Maquis FC	5	+5	12
4	Petro de Luanda	4	+6	10
5	Interclube	5	+2	9
6	Desportivo Huíla	5	+1	9
7	1º de Maio	5	+1	7
8	Sagrada Esperança	4	−1	6
9	Recreativo do Libolo	5	−5	6
10	CD Lunda-Sul	5	−1	5
11	Kabuscorp	5	−1	5
12	Recreativo da Caála	5	−2	4
13	FC Luanda	5	−3	4
14	São Salvador	5	−3	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	5	−5	2
16	Académica do Lobito	5	−9	0