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Ordino v Inter Club d'Escaldes

Ordino

0–4Full time

Inter Club d'Escaldes

1a Divisió · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 22:01

Ordino 0–4 Inter Club d'Escaldes INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Inter Club d'Escaldes win~~70%

~~The market said~~81%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.141

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.054

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Inter Club d'Escaldes win at 70%.
1′Much as we predicted: Inter Club d'Escaldes was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 72% now. 0–0 · 12–17–72
2′Much as we predicted: Inter Club d'Escaldes was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 71% now. 0–0 · 12–17–71
30′26′ and it is 0–2: Inter Club d'Escaldes have scored. 0–2 · 1–3–97
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 70% at kick-off, 66% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 70% at kick-off, 97% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 70% at kick-off, 66% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 70% at kick-off, 97% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 70% at kick-off, 66% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 70% at kick-off, 97% now
45′HALF-TIME Ordino 0–2 Inter Club d'Escaldes
46′SECOND HALF Ordino 0–2 Inter Club d'Escaldes
50′⚽ GOAL · 49' Ordino 0–3 Inter Club d'Escaldes
51′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Ordino
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Ordino 0–4 Inter Club d'Escaldes
FTFULL TIME Ordino 0–4 Inter Club d'Escaldes
FTOrdino 0–4 Inter Club d'Escaldes · Inter Club d'Escaldes win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Ordino win12%

Draw19%

Inter Club d'Escaldes win70%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Ordino

Formation not confirmed

65 J. Marinovich

2 P. F. Diaz

4 E. Sanchez

5 P. Benito

6 M. Picon

7 A. Teixidor

10 B. Merinas

17 D. Najera

23 J. Lopez

31 U. Gomez

33 J. Claros

Coach · –

Substitutes

99 · D. Preira

8 · A. Ramos

9 · Y. Quinonez

11 · J. Sarsanedas

19 · J. Rueda

22 · L. Barbich

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Formation not confirmed

13 J. Diaz

5 E. Jaouad

10 A. De La Torre

11 D. Berlanga

17 Dacu

18 R. Lafarge

22 M. Vargas

23 L. Diaby

31 Soule

70 B. Arellano

77 Y. Davila

Coach · Felip Ortiz

Substitutes

1 · P. Freixanet

3 · J. Torres

6 · V. Alonso

9 · F. Chouaib

19 · Modric

20 · M. Jurado

21 · M. Rodriguez

24 · M. Pochettino

99 · R. Hermann

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Ordino

Formation not confirmed

65 J. Marinovich

2 P. F. Diaz

4 E. Sanchez

5 P. Benito

6 M. Picon

7 A. Teixidor

10 B. Merinas

17 D. Najera

23 J. Lopez

31 U. Gomez

33 J. Claros

Coach · –

Substitutes

99 · D. Preira

8 · A. Ramos

9 · Y. Quinonez

11 · J. Sarsanedas

19 · J. Rueda

22 · L. Barbich

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Formation not confirmed

13 J. Diaz

5 E. Jaouad

10 A. De La Torre

11 D. Berlanga

17 Dacu

18 R. Lafarge

22 M. Vargas

23 L. Diaby

31 Soule

70 B. Arellano

77 Y. Davila

Coach · Felip Ortiz

Substitutes

1 · P. Freixanet

3 · J. Torres

6 · V. Alonso

9 · F. Chouaib

19 · Modric

20 · M. Jurado

21 · M. Rodriguez

24 · M. Pochettino

99 · R. Hermann

Our number · inter club d'escaldes winPublished 10 Oct 19:30

70% The market81%

Us70%

~~Market~~81%

We make Inter Club d'Escaldes a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 12 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · inter club d'escaldes win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ordino win	12%	6%	+6
Draw	19%	13%	+6
Inter Club d'Escaldes win	70%	81%	−12
Over 2.5 goals	64%	63%	+1
Both teams to score	54%	36%	+17
Over 1.5 goals	85%	82%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	43%	43%	0
Ordino or draw	30%	19%	+12
Ordino clean sheet	10%	–	–
Inter Club d'Escaldes clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.3%

0123450 4.9 7.8 10.3 8.4 5.3 2.81 2.4 8.7 8.9 7.1 4.4 2.32 3.5 4.1 3.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ordino down, Inter Club d'Escaldes across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 624 1a Divisió matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

1a Divisió matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

16 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 12 of 16 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ordino at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Inter Club d'Escaldes away: 2.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.89 goals for Ordino, 2.47 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

16 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~12 of 16

~~Both scored~~4 of 16

~~Last meetings~~INT 4–0 ORD · ORD 0–2 INT · INT 2–1 ORD · ORD 0–4 INT

Form · last six in 1a Divisió

ORDINO

LWDWWL0–1 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 0–4

INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES

WWLDWW5–3 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Santa Coloma	3	+11	9
2	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	3	+6	7
3	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	+6	7
4	Ordino	3	−2	6
5	Esperança d'Andorra	3	+3	4
6	Ranger's	3	−2	4
7	Penya Encarnada	3	−4	2
8	Casa de Portugal	3	−4	1
9	Carroi	3	−6	1
10	Sporting Escaldes	3	−8	0