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Inter Club d'Escaldes v Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Inter Club d'Escaldes

4–2Full time

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

1a Divisió · SUN 18 OCT · Estadi Comunal

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 21:31

Inter Club d'Escaldes 4–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Inter Club d'Escaldes win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.361

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay22 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Inter Club d'Escaldes win at 51%.
1′Much as we predicted: Inter Club d'Escaldes was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–23
1′KICK-OFF Inter Club d'Escaldes v Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
34′A goal for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes on 34′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–25–56
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 19% now
34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Inter Club d'Escaldes win 19%)
35′We said Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–56
36′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 18–26–56
45′PENALTY MISSED · 45' Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
45′HALF-TIME Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
46′We said Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–60
46′SECOND HALF Inter Club d'Escaldes 0–1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
59′We said Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
67′Inter Club d'Escaldes score on 66′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 29–55–17
67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Inter Club d'Escaldes 1–1 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 29% now
67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win 17%)
68′Atlètic Club d'Escaldes find the net on 68′. 1–2. 1–2 · 6–22–72
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Inter Club d'Escaldes 1–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 6% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
69′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–22–73
71′We said Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
74′A goal for Inter Club d'Escaldes on 73′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 22–64–13
74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Inter Club d'Escaldes 2–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 22% now
74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win 13%)
75′We said Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 2–2 · 21–66–13
76′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 20–67–12
77′Inter Club d'Escaldes score on 76′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 88–11–1
77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Inter Club d'Escaldes 3–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 88% now
77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Inter Club d'Escaldes win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
78′We published Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. Our model now makes it 89%. 3–2 · 89–10–1
78′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 89–10–1
79′We published Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Inter Club d'Escaldes win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
86′Inter Club d'Escaldes find the net on 84′. 4–2. 4–2 · 100–0–0
86′⚽ GOAL · 84' Inter Club d'Escaldes 4–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
87′We published Inter Club d'Escaldes at 51%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
88′6 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 100–0–0
96′A goal for Inter Club d'Escaldes on 90′ — 5–2. 5–2 · 100–0–0
96′That is 7, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 5–2 · 100–0–0
96′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Inter Club d'Escaldes 5–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
FTFULL TIME Inter Club d'Escaldes 4–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
FTInter Club d'Escaldes 4–2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes · Inter Club d'Escaldes win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter Club d'Escaldes are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Club d'Escaldes 51%, draw 26%, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 23%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Inter Club d'Escaldes v Atlètic Club d'EscaldesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Inter Club d'Escaldes win51%

Draw26%

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win23%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueEstadi Comunal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

3Days since last match7

Last match: 15 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

Last match: 11 Oct · 1a Divisió

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Inter Club d'Escaldes	4	+10	10
4	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	4	+6	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter club d'escaldes winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Inter Club d'Escaldes a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter Club d'Escaldes v Atlètic Club d'Escaldes~~1.75 – 1.10

~~Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D1 L0 · W2 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 8~~2 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Club d'Escaldes win	51%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Inter Club d'Escaldes or draw	77%	–	–
Inter Club d'Escaldes clean sheet	34%	–	–
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.7 5.2 3.6 1 9.0 12.0 5.9 2.3 2 8.8 9.2 5.1 3 5.1 5.4 3.0 4 2.3 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Club d'Escaldes down, Atlètic Club d'Escaldes across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 630 1a Divisió matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisió matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter Club d'Escaldes at home: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Atlètic Club d'Escaldes away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Inter Club d'Escaldes, 1.10 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~INT 2–0 ATL · INT 3–1 ATL · ATL 2–1 INT · ATL 0–1 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 6 Sept

INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES

DWWW2–2 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 4–0

ATLÈTIC CLUB D'ESCALDES

DWWD1–1 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Santa Coloma	5	+17	15
2	Inter Club d'Escaldes	4	+10	10
3	Ordino	5	−5	9
4	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	4	+6	8
5	Ranger's	5	0	7
6	Esperança d'Andorra	5	+2	5
7	Penya Encarnada	4	−2	5
8	Sporting Escaldes	5	−9	3
9	Casa de Portugal	4	−9	1
10	Carroi	5	−10	1