FC Santa Coloma v Inter Club d'Escaldes prediction · 1a Divisió

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC Santa ColomaDrawInter Club d'Escaldes

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Inter Club d'Escaldes 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Inter Club d'Escaldes just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Santa Coloma 36%, draw 27%, Inter Club d'Escaldes 37%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on FC Santa Coloma v Inter Club d'EscaldesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

FC Santa Coloma win36%

Draw27%

Inter Club d'Escaldes win37%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueEstadi Comunal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Santa Coloma

Inter Club d'Escaldes

7Days since last match3

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisió

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter club d'escaldes winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Inter Club d'Escaldes a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Santa Coloma v Inter Club d'Escaldes~~1.46 – 1.48

~~Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D0 L0 · W4 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 15 v 13~~1 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Inter Club d'Escaldes win

Published at 36%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Santa Coloma win	36%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Inter Club d'Escaldes win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
FC Santa Coloma or draw	63%	–	–
FC Santa Coloma clean sheet	24%	–	–
Inter Club d'Escaldes clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.0 6.7 5.8 2.9 1 6.6 12.3 8.1 4.1 2 5.7 8.0 5.8 2.9 3 2.8 4.0 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Santa Coloma down, Inter Club d'Escaldes across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 635 1a Divisió matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisió matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Santa Coloma at home: 3.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Inter Club d'Escaldes away: 2.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for FC Santa Coloma, 1.48 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FCS 3–2 INT · INT 1–1 FCS · FCS 1–3 INT · INT 1–0 FCS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 5 Sept

FC SANTA COLOMA

WWWWW3–0 · 4–0 · 5–1 · 5–0 · 2–1

INTER CLUB D'ESCALDES

DWWWW2–2 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Santa Coloma	5	+17	15
2	Inter Club d'Escaldes	5	+12	13
3	Ordino	5	−5	9
4	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	5	+4	8
5	Ranger's	5	0	7
6	Esperança d'Andorra	5	+2	5
7	Penya Encarnada	5	−5	5
8	Casa de Portugal	6	−6	5
9	Sporting Escaldes	6	−9	4
10	Carroi	5	−10	1