Esperança d'Andorra v Sporting Escaldes prediction · 1a Divisió

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Esperança d'AndorraDrawSporting Escaldes

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Esperança d'Andorra 51%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Esperança d'Andorra are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Esperança d'Andorra 51%, draw 24%, Sporting Escaldes 25%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Esperança d'Andorra v Sporting EscaldesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Esperança d'Andorra win51%

Draw24%

Sporting Escaldes win25%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Esperança d'Andorra

Sporting Escaldes

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisió

Last match: 24 Oct · 1a Divisió

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Esperança d'Andorra	5	+2	5
9	Sporting Escaldes	6	−9	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · esperança d'andorra winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Esperança d'Andorra a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Esperança d'Andorra v Sporting Escaldes~~1.89 – 1.20

~~Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 6 Sept~~W1 D2 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 5 v 4~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Esperança d'Andorra win	51%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Sporting Escaldes win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Esperança d'Andorra or draw	75%	–	–
Esperança d'Andorra clean sheet	32%	–	–
Sporting Escaldes clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.3 4.7 3.7 1 7.7 11.0 6.1 2.6 2 8.0 8.8 5.3 2.2 3 5.1 5.4 3.2 4 2.7 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Esperança d'Andorra down, Sporting Escaldes across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 635 1a Divisió matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisió matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Esperança d'Andorra at home: 1.50 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sporting Escaldes away: 0.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.89 goals for Esperança d'Andorra, 1.20 for Sporting Escaldes. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ESP 2–0 SPO · SPO 1–3 ESP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 6 Sept

ESPERANÇA D'ANDORRA

DLWDL2–2 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

SPORTING ESCALDES

LLLLWD1–2 · 1–4 · 1–5 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Santa Coloma	5	+17	15
2	Inter Club d'Escaldes	5	+12	13
3	Ordino	5	−5	9
4	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	5	+4	8
5	Ranger's	5	0	7
6	Esperança d'Andorra	5	+2	5
7	Penya Encarnada	5	−5	5
8	Casa de Portugal	6	−6	5
9	Sporting Escaldes	6	−9	4
10	Carroi	5	−10	1