Atlètic Club d'Escaldes v Ranger's prediction · 1a Divisió

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atlètic Club d'EscaldesDrawRanger's

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 39%, draw 28%, Ranger's 32%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Atlètic Club d'Escaldes v Ranger'sBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win39%

Draw28%

Ranger's win32%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueEstadi Comunal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

Ranger's

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 1a Divisió

Last match: 17 Oct · 1a Divisió

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	5	+4	8
5	Ranger's	5	0	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atlètic club d'escaldes winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Atlètic Club d'Escaldes a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atlètic Club d'Escaldes v Ranger's~~1.42 – 1.26

~~Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 7~~4 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win	39%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Ranger's win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes or draw	68%	–	–
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes clean sheet	29%	–	–
Ranger's clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 8.8 7.5 5.5 2.4 1 8.5 13.1 7.4 3.2 2 6.9 8.3 5.2 2.2 3 3.3 4.0 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Atlètic Club d'Escaldes down, Ranger's across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 635 1a Divisió matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1a Divisió matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.22 goals a meeting; 6 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes at home: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Ranger's away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, 1.26 for Ranger's. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.22

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 9

~~Both scored~~6 of 9

~~Last meetings~~RAN 3–1 ATL · ATL 0–2 RAN · RAN 2–1 ATL · RAN 1–1 ATL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 1a Divisió this season · since 6 Sept

ATLÈTIC CLUB D'ESCALDES

DWWDL1–1 · 4–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–4

RANGER'S

DWLWL1–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 3–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Santa Coloma	5	+17	15
2	Inter Club d'Escaldes	5	+12	13
3	Ordino	5	−5	9
4	Atlètic Club d'Escaldes	5	+4	8
5	Ranger's	5	0	7
6	Esperança d'Andorra	5	+2	5
7	Penya Encarnada	5	−5	5
8	Casa de Portugal	6	−6	5
9	Sporting Escaldes	6	−9	4
10	Carroi	5	−10	1