WA Tlemcen v Taghit prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 18:02

WA Tlemcen 2–0 Taghit WA TLEMCEN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said WA Tlemcen win~~64%

~~The market said~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.195

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.086

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said WA Tlemcen win at 64%.
1′Little has changed for our model: WA Tlemcen 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–21–15
1′KICK-OFF WA Tlemcen v Taghit
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' WA Tlemcen win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
37′We said WA Tlemcen at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 52–33–15
43′We said WA Tlemcen at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–36–14
45′SECOND HALF WA Tlemcen 0–0 Taghit
47′HALF-TIME WA Tlemcen 0–0 Taghit
52′We said WA Tlemcen at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–42–14
52′We said WA Tlemcen at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–2
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' WA Tlemcen win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' WA Tlemcen 1–0 Taghit
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' WA Tlemcen win: 64% at kick-off, 86% now
53′WA Tlemcen score on 53′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 87–12–2
62′We said WA Tlemcen at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' WA Tlemcen 2–0 Taghit
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' WA Tlemcen win: 64% at kick-off, 99% now
63′WA Tlemcen find the net on 62′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
64′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 2–0 · 99–1–0
77′We said WA Tlemcen at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
93′2–0 at the end. Our 64% on WA Tlemcen comes in. 2–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME WA Tlemcen 2–0 Taghit
FTWA Tlemcen 2–0 Taghit · WA Tlemcen win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

WA Tlemcen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: WA Tlemcen 64%, draw 21%, Taghit 15%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on WA Tlemcen v TaghitBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

WA Tlemcen win64%

Draw21%

Taghit win15%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

WA Tlemcen

Taghit

6Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	WA Tlemcen	5	−5	4
16	Taghit	6	−17	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wa tlemcen winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

64% The market77%

Us64%

~~Market~~77%

We make WA Tlemcen a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 77%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · WA Tlemcen v Taghit~~1.87 – 0.72

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D1 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 4 v 1~~12 v 16

~~The market · WA Tlemcen win~~77% · ours 64%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · WA Tlemcen win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
WA Tlemcen win	64%	77%	−13
Draw	21%	16%	+5
Taghit win	15%	7%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	47%	58%	−11
Both teams to score	42%	37%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	71%	78%	−7
Over 3.5 goals	26%	37%	−11
WA Tlemcen or draw	85%	93%	−8
WA Tlemcen clean sheet	49%	–	–
Taghit clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.6%

0123450 7.8 6.2 2.1 1 14.6 9.4 3.6 2 12.7 8.8 3.2 3 7.9 5.5 4 3.8 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+WA Tlemcen down, Taghit across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,489 Ligue 2 matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

WA Tlemcen at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Taghit away: 0.33 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.87 goals for WA Tlemcen, 0.72 for Taghit. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept

WA TLEMCEN

WLDLL2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–2

TAGHIT

LLLDLL0–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–6 · 0–6

The table

2026/27 · West

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Blida	6	+9	16
2	RC Kouba	6	+10	14
3	GC Mascara	6	+7	14
4	MC Saida	5	+4	13
5	ASM Oran	6	+6	10
6	Usm El Harrach	6	+2	10
7	Mostaganem	6	+2	10
8	Sidi Benali	6	0	10
9	WA Mostaganem	6	−1	6
10	Hussein Dey	6	−2	6
11	Tiaret	6	+1	4
12	WA Tlemcen	5	−5	4
13	RC Arba	3	−4	3
14	Koléa	5	−6	3
15	El Bayadh	6	−6	2
16	Taghit	6	−17	1