WA Tlemcen v Blida prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57

WA Tlemcen 0–2 Blida WA TLEMCEN WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said WA Tlemcen win~~41%

~~The market said~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.744

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.683

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said WA Tlemcen win at 41%.
1′Little has changed for our model: WA Tlemcen 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–30–29
1′KICK-OFF WA Tlemcen v Blida
34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was WA Tlemcen win 35%)
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' WA Tlemcen 0–1 Blida
36′We said WA Tlemcen at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 0–1 · 10–24–66
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' WA Tlemcen win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Blida win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Draw 24%)
38′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 10–24–67
40′We said WA Tlemcen at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
41′⚽ GOAL · 41' WA Tlemcen 0–1 Blida
45′HALF-TIME WA Tlemcen 0–1 Blida
46′SECOND HALF WA Tlemcen 0–1 Blida
61′We said WA Tlemcen at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' WA Tlemcen win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' WA Tlemcen 0–2 Blida
FTFULL TIME WA Tlemcen 0–2 Blida
FTWA Tlemcen 0–2 Blida · WA Tlemcen win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

WA Tlemcen win41%

Draw29%

Blida win30%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

WA Tlemcen

Blida

4Days since last match4

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Blida	4	+4	10
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wa tlemcen winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

41% The market35%

Us41%

~~Market~~35%

We make WA Tlemcen a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · wa tlemcen win The market, margin stripped

Published at 42%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
WA Tlemcen win	41%	35%	+7
Draw	29%	33%	−4
Blida win	30%	33%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	35%	35%	0
Both teams to score	40%	44%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	61%	61%	0
Over 3.5 goals	17%	18%	−1
WA Tlemcen or draw	70%	67%	+3
WA Tlemcen clean sheet	40%	–	–
Blida clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.7%

0123450 12.5 12.0 5.4 1 14.7 12.2 5.9 2 8.2 7.3 3.4 3 3.3 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+WA Tlemcen down, Blida across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,457 Ligue 2 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

WA Tlemcen at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Blida away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for WA Tlemcen, 0.94 for Blida. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Ligue 2 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Ligue 2

WA TLEMCEN

LWLWLD0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0

BLIDA

WWDW2–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	4	+10	12
2	Blida	4	+4	10
3	USM Annaba	4	+6	9
4	Azazga	4	+2	8
5	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
6	MC Saida	3	+2	7
7	Nrb Beni Oulbene	4	+2	7
8	Usm El Harrach	4	+1	7
9	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
10	NC Magra	4	−1	7
11	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6
12	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
13	MO Constantine	4	+1	6
14	Khroub	4	+1	6
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5
16	WA Mostaganem	4	0	5
17	MO Bejaia	3	+1	4
18	Paradou AC	3	0	4
19	Mostaganem	4	−1	4
20	IRB Nezla	3	−1	4
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4
22	Hussein Dey	4	−2	3
23	Koléa	3	−3	3
24	Teleghma	4	−2	2
25	CA Batna	4	−2	2
26	El Bayadh	4	−2	2
27	US Chaouia	4	−4	2
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1
29	Tiaret	4	−4	1
30	Taghit	4	−6	1
31	CR Béni Thour	3	−4	0