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WA Mostaganem v Mostaganem

WA Mostaganem
0–0Full time
Mostaganem

Ligue 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
WA Mostaganem 0–0 Mostaganem WA MOSTAGANEM WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said WA Mostaganem win39%
The market said39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.853
The market’s Brier score0.740

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said WA Mostaganem win at 39%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: WA Mostaganem 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–25–36
  3. 1′KICK-OFF WA Mostaganem v Mostaganem
  4. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was WA Mostaganem win 34%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME WA Mostaganem 0–0 Mostaganem
  6. 46′SECOND HALF WA Mostaganem 0–0 Mostaganem
  7. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' WA Mostaganem win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
  8. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 28–46–26
  9. 56′We said WA Mostaganem at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 27–47–26
  10. 63′We said WA Mostaganem at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–53–23
  11. 66′WA Mostaganem are down to ten from 66′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 23–56–22
  12. 66′🟥 RED CARD · 66' WA Mostaganem
  13. 72′We said WA Mostaganem at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–18
  14. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' WA Mostaganem win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
  15. 78′We said WA Mostaganem at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–13
  16. 83′We said WA Mostaganem at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
  17. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' WA Mostaganem win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
  18. 90′We said WA Mostaganem at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  19. FTFULL TIME WA Mostaganem 0–0 Mostaganem
  20. FTWA Mostaganem 0–0 Mostaganem · WA Mostaganem win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with WA Mostaganem just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: WA Mostaganem 39%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 36%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on WA Mostaganem v MostaganemBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

WA Mostaganem win39%
Draw25%
Mostaganem win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

WA Mostaganem

Mostaganem

5Days since last match7

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · West

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Mostaganem6+210
10WA Mostaganem6−16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wa mostaganem winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off
39% The market39%
Us39%
Market39%

We make WA Mostaganem a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.4–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · WA Mostaganem v Mostaganem1.35 – 1.30
Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 SeptW1 D3 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 6 v 1010 v 7
The market · WA Mostaganem win39% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 20 OCT 09:3124 OCT 14:16
Our probability · WA Mostaganem win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
WA Mostaganem win39%39%0
Draw25%30%−5
Mostaganem win36%31%+5
Over 2.5 goals48%40%+8
Both teams to score51%47%+4
Over 1.5 goals72%65%+7
Over 3.5 goals28%21%+7
WA Mostaganem or draw64%69%−5
WA Mostaganem clean sheet29%––
Mostaganem clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 7.4 9.9 6.0 2.7 1 10.4 11.2 7.3 3.2 2 6.6 7.8 4.8 2.1 3 3.1 3.6 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+WA Mostaganem down, Mostaganem across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsMOS 1–0 WAM · WAM 1–2 MOS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept

WA MOSTAGANEM

DLWDDL2–2 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2

MOSTAGANEM

LWDLWW1–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27 · West
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Blida7+917
2RC Kouba6+1014
3GC Mascara6+714
4MC Saida6+414
5ASM Oran6+610
6Usm El Harrach6+210
7Mostaganem6+210
8Sidi Benali6010
9WA Tlemcen6−37
10WA Mostaganem6−16
11Hussein Dey6−26
12Tiaret6+14
13RC Arba3−43
14Koléa5−63
15El Bayadh6−62
16Taghit7−191

The competition's standings before kick-off.