USM Annaba v CA Batna prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

USM Annaba 0–0 CA Batna USM ANNABA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said USM Annaba win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.805

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

USM Annaba are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: USM Annaba 50%, draw 29%, CA Batna 22%. Over 2.5 goals 32%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on USM Annaba v CA BatnaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

USM Annaba win50%

Draw29%

CA Batna win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

USM Annaba

CA Batna

4Days since last match4

Last match: 13 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	USM Annaba	5	+5	9
11	CA Batna	5	−1	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · usm annaba winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · updated 14 Oct 04:32 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make USM Annaba a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · USM Annaba v CA Batna~~1.27 – 0.71

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D0 L2 · W1 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 9 v 5~~2 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · USM Annaba win

Published at 51%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
USM Annaba win	50%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
CA Batna win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
USM Annaba or draw	78%	–	–
USM Annaba clean sheet	50%	–	–
CA Batna clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.9%

0123450 14.1 10.4 3.6 1 17.9 11.5 4.3 2 10.9 7.5 2.7 3 4.7 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+USM Annaba down, CA Batna across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,473 Ligue 2 matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.70 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

USM Annaba at home: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). CA Batna away: 0.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for USM Annaba, 0.71 for CA Batna. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.70

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CAB 2–0 USM · USM 0–1 CAB · CAB 1–1 USM · USM 2–3 CAB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept

USM ANNABA

WLWWL3–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–2

CA BATNA

DLLDW2–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · East

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MSP Batna	5	+3	11
2	USM Annaba	5	+5	9
3	JSM Skikda	4	+3	9
4	MO Constantine	5	+2	9
5	Azazga	5	+1	8
6	MO Bejaia	4	+3	7
7	Nrb Beni Oulbene	5	0	7
8	NC Magra	5	−2	7
9	Khroub	5	0	6
10	Teleghma	5	−1	5
11	CA Batna	5	−1	5
12	US Chaouia	5	−3	5
13	Paradou AC	4	−1	4
14	IRB Nezla	4	−2	4
15	CR Béni Thour	4	−3	3
16	JS Jijel	4	−4	1