US Chaouia v Paradou AC
US ChaouiaParadou ACLigue 2 · TUE 13 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said US Chaouia win at 62%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: US Chaouia was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 62–23–15
- 1′KICK-OFF US Chaouia v Paradou AC
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' US Chaouia win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
- 39′We said US Chaouia at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–35–15
- 41′We said US Chaouia at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–36–15
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' US Chaouia win: 62% at kick-off, 47% now
- 46′SECOND HALF US Chaouia 0–0 Paradou AC
- 48′We published US Chaouia at 62%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–2
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' US Chaouia 1–0 Paradou AC
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' US Chaouia win: 62% at kick-off, 86% now
- 51′We said US Chaouia at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–42–14 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' US Chaouia win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
- 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' US Chaouia 1–0 Paradou AC
- 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–45–14 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
- 71′We published US Chaouia at 62%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' US Chaouia 1–1 Paradou AC
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' US Chaouia win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
- 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' US Chaouia 1–1 Paradou AC
- 83′We published US Chaouia at 62%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- FTFULL TIME US Chaouia 1–0 Paradou AC
- FTUS Chaouia 1–0 Paradou AC · US Chaouia win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off
US Chaouia win62%Paradou AC win16%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00
Match timeline
All events
US ChaouiaMINParadou ACEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
US Chaouia
Paradou AC
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Paradou AC | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 27 | US Chaouia | 4 | −4 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make US Chaouia a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 21 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.7.
Published at 64%, 62% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Chaouia win | 62% | 40% | +21 |
| Draw | 22% | 32% | −10 |
| Paradou AC win | 16% | 28% | −12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 36% | +9 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 44% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 62% | +9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 18% | +7 |
| US Chaouia or draw | 84% | 72% | +12 |
| US Chaouia clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| Paradou AC clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Ligue 2 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Ligue 2
US CHAOUIA
PARADOU AC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  RC Kouba | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Blida | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 3 |  USM Annaba | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Azazga | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 |  MSP Batna | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 6 |  MC Saida | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Nrb Beni Oulbene | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Usm El Harrach | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sidi Benali | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  NC Magra | 4 | −1 | 7 |
| 11 |  JSM Skikda | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  ASM Oran | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  MO Constantine | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Khroub | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  GC Mascara | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 16 |  WA Mostaganem | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 17 |  MO Bejaia | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 | Paradou AC | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 |  Mostaganem | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 20 |  IRB Nezla | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 21 |  WA Tlemcen | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 22 |  Hussein Dey | 4 | −2 | 3 |
| 23 |  Koléa | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Teleghma | 4 | −2 | 2 |
| 25 |  CA Batna | 4 | −2 | 2 |
| 26 |  El Bayadh | 4 | −2 | 2 |
| 27 | US Chaouia | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 28 |  JS Jijel | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 29 |  Tiaret | 4 | −4 | 1 |
| 30 |  Taghit | 4 | −6 | 1 |
| 31 |  CR Béni Thour | 3 | −4 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.