Teleghma v Nrb Beni Oulbene prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45

Teleghma 1–0 Nrb Beni Oulbene TELEGHMA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Teleghma win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.426

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Teleghma are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Teleghma 47%, draw 27%, Nrb Beni Oulbene 26%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Teleghma v Nrb Beni OulbeneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

Teleghma win47%

Draw27%

Nrb Beni Oulbene win26%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Teleghma

Nrb Beni Oulbene

7Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Nrb Beni Oulbene	6	0	8
13	Teleghma	6	−2	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · teleghma winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Teleghma a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Teleghma v Nrb Beni Oulbene~~1.32 – 0.90

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 5 v 8~~13 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Teleghma win	47%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Nrb Beni Oulbene win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Teleghma or draw	74%	–	–
Teleghma clean sheet	42%	–	–
Nrb Beni Oulbene clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.9%

0123450 11.0 10.4 4.5 1 14.9 11.9 5.5 2 9.4 8.0 3.6 3 4.2 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Teleghma down, Nrb Beni Oulbene across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,491 Ligue 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Teleghma at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Nrb Beni Oulbene away: 0.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Teleghma, 0.90 for Nrb Beni Oulbene. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~TEL 1–1 NRB · NRB 1–1 TEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept

TELEGHMA

DLLDWL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–1

NRB BENI OULBENE

DWLWLD1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27 · East

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MSP Batna	6	+4	14
2	Azazga	6	+4	11
3	USM Annaba	6	+5	10
4	MO Constantine	6	+2	10
5	NC Magra	6	−1	10
6	JSM Skikda	5	+2	9
7	Khroub	6	+1	9
8	Nrb Beni Oulbene	6	0	8
9	US Chaouia	6	−2	8
10	MO Bejaia	5	+2	7
11	Paradou AC	5	+1	7
12	CA Batna	6	−1	6
13	Teleghma	6	−2	5
14	IRB Nezla	5	−3	4
15	CR Béni Thour	5	−6	3
16	JS Jijel	5	−6	1