Taghit v Tiaret prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Taghit 0–6 Tiaret TAGHIT WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Taghit win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.674

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Taghit are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Taghit 40%, draw 26%, Tiaret 33%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Taghit v TiaretBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Taghit win40%

Draw26%

Tiaret win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Taghit

Tiaret

4Days since last match4

Last match: 13 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Tiaret	5	−5	1
15	Taghit	5	−11	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · taghit winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · updated 14 Oct 04:32 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Taghit a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Taghit v Tiaret~~1.29 – 1.14

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept~~W0 D1 L4 · W0 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 1 v 1~~15 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Taghit win

Published at 43%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Taghit win	40%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Tiaret win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Taghit or draw	67%	–	–
Taghit clean sheet	33%	–	–
Tiaret clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.0%

0123450 9.0 10.8 5.8 2.3 1 12.0 11.9 7.0 2.7 2 7.3 7.8 4.4 3 3.2 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Taghit down, Tiaret across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,473 Ligue 2 matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Taghit at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Tiaret away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Taghit, 1.14 for Tiaret. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept

TAGHIT

LLLDL0–1 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 1–1 · 1–6

TIARET

LDLLL1–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27 · West

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	5	+10	13
2	Blida	5	+6	13
3	GC Mascara	5	+6	11
4	Usm El Harrach	5	+3	10
5	MC Saida	4	+3	10
6	ASM Oran	5	+6	9
7	Mostaganem	5	0	7
8	Sidi Benali	5	−2	7
9	Hussein Dey	5	+1	6
10	WA Mostaganem	5	0	6
11	WA Tlemcen	4	−3	4
12	Koléa	4	−4	3
13	El Bayadh	5	−5	2
14	Tiaret	5	−5	1
15	Taghit	5	−11	1
16	RC Arba	2	−5	0