Sidi Benali v Koléa prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Sidi Benali 3–1 Koléa SIDI BENALI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Sidi Benali win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.262

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Sidi Benali win at 58%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Sidi Benali 58% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 58–23–19
1′KICK-OFF Sidi Benali v Koléa
7′Little has changed for our model: Sidi Benali 58% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–24–19
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Sidi Benali win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
41′We said Sidi Benali at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–36–18
45′We said Sidi Benali at 58%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
45′HALF-TIME Sidi Benali 1–0 Koléa
46′A goal for Sidi Benali on 45′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 82–14–3
46′We said Sidi Benali at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–14–3
46′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 82–14–3
46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Sidi Benali 1–0 Koléa
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Sidi Benali win: 58% at kick-off, 82% now
46′SECOND HALF Sidi Benali 1–0 Koléa
56′Sidi Benali score on 56′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–0
56′We said Sidi Benali at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Sidi Benali 2–0 Koléa
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Sidi Benali win: 58% at kick-off, 97% now
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Sidi Benali win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
67′PENALTY MISSED · 67' Koléa
79′We said Sidi Benali at 58% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
83′Koléa find the net on 83′. 2–1. 2–1 · 94–6–0
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Sidi Benali 2–1 Koléa
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Sidi Benali win: 58% at kick-off, 94% now
84′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 95–5–0
90′A goal for Sidi Benali on 90′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Sidi Benali 3–1 Koléa
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Sidi Benali win: 58% at kick-off, over 99% now
91′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Sidi Benali 3–1 Koléa
FTSidi Benali 3–1 Koléa · Sidi Benali win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sidi Benali are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sidi Benali 58%, draw 22%, Koléa 19%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Sidi Benali v KoléaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

Sidi Benali win58%

Draw22%

Koléa win19%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sidi Benali

Koléa

4Days since last match4

Last match: 13 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Sidi Benali	5	−2	7
12	Koléa	4	−4	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sidi benali winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · updated 14 Oct 04:32 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Sidi Benali a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sidi Benali v Koléa~~1.79 – 0.87

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D1 L2 · W1 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 7 v 3~~8 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Sidi Benali win

Published at 59%, 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sidi Benali win	58%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Koléa win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Sidi Benali or draw	81%	–	–
Sidi Benali clean sheet	43%	–	–
Koléa clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.1%

0123450 7.4 7.0 2.9 1 13.1 10.2 4.7 2 10.7 8.9 3.9 3 6.4 5.3 2.3 4 3.0 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sidi Benali down, Koléa across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,473 Ligue 2 matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 73 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Sidi Benali at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Koléa away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Sidi Benali, 0.87 for Koléa. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept

SIDI BENALI

WLDWL1–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 0–2

KOLÉA

LWLL0–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–3

The table

2026/27 · West

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	5	+10	13
2	Blida	5	+6	13
3	GC Mascara	5	+6	11
4	Usm El Harrach	5	+3	10
5	MC Saida	4	+3	10
6	ASM Oran	5	+6	9
7	Mostaganem	5	0	7
8	Sidi Benali	5	−2	7
9	Hussein Dey	5	+1	6
10	WA Mostaganem	5	0	6
11	WA Tlemcen	4	−3	4
12	Koléa	4	−4	3
13	El Bayadh	5	−5	2
14	Tiaret	5	−5	1
15	Taghit	5	−11	1
16	RC Arba	2	−5	0