MO Constantine v Khroub prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 20:46

MO Constantine 0–1 Khroub MO CONSTANTINE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said MO Constantine win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.845

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MO Constantine are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: MO Constantine 45%, draw 30%, Khroub 25%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on MO Constantine v KhroubBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

MO Constantine win45%

Draw30%

Khroub win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

MO Constantine

Khroub

5Days since last match6

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

Last match: 18 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	MO Constantine	6	+2	10
7	Khroub	6	+1	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mo constantine winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make MO Constantine a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · MO Constantine v Khroub~~1.15 – 0.78

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D4 L0 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 10 v 9~~4 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
MO Constantine win	45%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Khroub win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	56%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
MO Constantine or draw	75%	–	–
MO Constantine clean sheet	47%	–	–
Khroub clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.0%

0123450 14.7 11.8 4.4 1 17.0 11.9 4.9 2 9.5 7.2 2.8 3 3.8 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+MO Constantine down, Khroub across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,491 Ligue 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.25 goals a meeting; 1 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

MO Constantine at home: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Khroub away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for MO Constantine, 0.78 for Khroub. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.25

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 8

~~Both scored~~1 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MOC 2–0 KHR · KHR 0–0 MOC · MOC 1–0 KHR · KHR 2–0 MOC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept

MO CONSTANTINE

DDWDWD0–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0

KHROUB

DWDDLW0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27 · East

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MSP Batna	6	+4	14
2	Azazga	6	+4	11
3	USM Annaba	6	+5	10
4	MO Constantine	6	+2	10
5	NC Magra	6	−1	10
6	JSM Skikda	5	+2	9
7	Khroub	6	+1	9
8	Nrb Beni Oulbene	6	0	8
9	US Chaouia	6	−2	8
10	MO Bejaia	5	+2	7
11	Paradou AC	5	+1	7
12	CA Batna	6	−1	6
13	Teleghma	6	−2	5
14	IRB Nezla	5	−3	4
15	CR Béni Thour	5	−6	3
16	JS Jijel	5	−6	1