MO Constantine v Azazga
MO ConstantineAzazgaLigue 2 · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said MO Constantine win at 44%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: MO Constantine 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–29–27
- 1′KICK-OFF MO Constantine v Azazga
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was MO Constantine win 36%)
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' MO Constantine win: 44% at kick-off, 34% now
- 45′HALF-TIME MO Constantine 0–0 Azazga
- 45′SECOND HALF MO Constantine 0–0 Azazga
- 48′We said MO Constantine at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 0–0 · 32–46–22
- 56′We said MO Constantine at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
- 64′We said MO Constantine at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–59–17
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' MO Constantine win: 44% at kick-off, 24% now
- 66′67′ and it is 0–0: MO Constantine have scored. 0–0 · 23–61–16
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 67' MO Constantine 1–0 Azazga
- 66′GOAL DISALLOWED · 66' MO Constantine
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' MO Constantine 1–0 Azazga
- 67′We said MO Constantine at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' MO Constantine 1–0 Azazga
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' MO Constantine win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' MO Constantine win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
- 68′We said MO Constantine at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 77′We said MO Constantine at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 84′We said MO Constantine at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' MO Constantine win: 44% at kick-off, 95% now
- FTFULL TIME MO Constantine 1–0 Azazga
- FTMO Constantine 1–0 Azazga · MO Constantine win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 14:19 · locked at kick-off
MO Constantine win44%Azazga win28%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 15:00
Match timeline
All events
MO ConstantineMINAzazgaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
MO Constantine
Azazga
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Azazga | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | MO Constantine | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make MO Constantine a 44% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| MO Constantine win | 44% | 40% | +4 |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | −4 |
| Azazga win | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 39% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 47% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 20% | −3 |
| MO Constantine or draw | 72% | 72% | 0 |
| MO Constantine clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Azazga clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Ligue 2 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Ligue 2
MO CONSTANTINE
AZAZGA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MSP Batna | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 |  USM Annaba | 5 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 |  JSM Skikda | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Azazga | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 |  Nrb Beni Oulbene | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 |  NC Magra | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | MO Constantine | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Khroub | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Teleghma | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  CA Batna | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  US Chaouia | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 |  MO Bejaia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Paradou AC | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 |  IRB Nezla | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 |  CR Béni Thour | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  JS Jijel | 4 | -4 | 1 |
The competition's standings.