MC Saida v Blida prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 18:02

MC Saida 0–0 Blida MC SAIDA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said MC Saida win~~41%

~~The market said~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.767

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.737

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said MC Saida win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: MC Saida was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 40–29–31
1′KICK-OFF MC Saida v Blida
32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was MC Saida win 36%)
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' MC Saida win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
45′SECOND HALF MC Saida 0–0 Blida
47′HALF-TIME MC Saida 0–0 Blida
49′We said MC Saida at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–23
60′We said MC Saida at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–56–20
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' MC Saida win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
69′We said MC Saida at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
76′We said MC Saida at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' MC Saida win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
82′We said MC Saida at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
89′We said MC Saida at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–3
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' MC Saida win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
95′Full time, 0–0. We called MC Saida at 41% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
FTFULL TIME MC Saida 0–0 Blida
FTMC Saida 0–0 Blida · MC Saida win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

MC Saida are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: MC Saida 41%, draw 29%, Blida 31%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on MC Saida v BlidaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

MC Saida win41%

Draw29%

Blida win31%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

MC Saida

Blida

6Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mc saida winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

41% The market45%

Us41%

~~Market~~45%

We make MC Saida a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · MC Saida v Blida~~1.14 – 0.94

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept~~W4 D1 L0 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 13 v 16~~4 v 1

~~The market · MC Saida win~~45% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · MC Saida win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
MC Saida win	41%	45%	−4
Draw	29%	31%	−2
Blida win	31%	24%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	34%	35%	−1
Both teams to score	40%	42%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	60%	59%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	16%	17%	−1
MC Saida or draw	69%	76%	−7
MC Saida clean sheet	40%	–	–
Blida clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.7%

0123450 12.6 12.4 5.6 1 14.7 12.2 6.0 2 8.0 7.2 3.4 3 3.2 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+MC Saida down, Blida across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,489 Ligue 2 matches up to 19 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

MC Saida at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Blida away: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for MC Saida, 0.94 for Blida. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept

MC SAIDA

DWWWW2–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1

BLIDA

WWDWWW2–1 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · West

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Blida	6	+9	16
2	RC Kouba	6	+10	14
3	GC Mascara	6	+7	14
4	MC Saida	5	+4	13
5	ASM Oran	6	+6	10
6	Usm El Harrach	6	+2	10
7	Mostaganem	6	+2	10
8	Sidi Benali	6	0	10
9	WA Mostaganem	6	−1	6
10	Hussein Dey	6	−2	6
11	Tiaret	6	+1	4
12	WA Tlemcen	5	−5	4
13	RC Arba	3	−4	3
14	Koléa	5	−6	3
15	El Bayadh	6	−6	2
16	Taghit	6	−17	1