Khroub v JSM Skikda

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Khroub win at 59%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Khroub 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–25–16
3. 1′KICK-OFF Khroub v JSM Skikda
4. 18′JSM Skikda score on 18′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 26–28–46
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Khroub 0–1 JSM Skikda
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Khroub win: 59% at kick-off, 26% now
7. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' JSM Skikda win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Khroub win 26%)
8. 19′We said Khroub at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–28–46
9. 21′Khroub find the net on 20′. 1–1. 1–1 · 53–31–16
10. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Khroub 1–1 JSM Skikda
11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Khroub win: 59% at kick-off, 53% now
12. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Khroub win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was JSM Skikda win 16%)
13. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Khroub win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
14. 37′We said Khroub at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–38–15
15. 43′We said Khroub at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–41–15
16. 45′HALF-TIME Khroub 2–1 JSM Skikda
17. 46′A goal for Khroub on 45′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 86–12–2
18. 46′We said Khroub at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–12–2
19. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Khroub 2–1 JSM Skikda
20. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Khroub win: 59% at kick-off, 86% now
21. 46′SECOND HALF Khroub 2–1 JSM Skikda
22. 47′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 86–12–2
23. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Khroub win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
24. 67′We said Khroub at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
25. 80′Khroub are down to ten from 80′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 94–6–0
26. 80′🟥 RED CARD · 80' Khroub
27. 81′We said Khroub at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
28. 88′Khroub have ten men and JSM Skikda ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 97–3–0
29. 88′🟥 RED CARD · 88' JSM Skikda
30. 89′Red cards for both sides: Khroub down to nine, JSM Skikda to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 98–2–0
31. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 89' Khroub
32. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+2' Khroub win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
33. FTFULL TIME Khroub 2–1 JSM Skikda
34. FTKhroub 2–1 JSM Skikda · Khroub win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.