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JSM Skikda v NC Magra

JSM Skikda

2–1Full time

NC Magra

Ligue 2 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57

JSM Skikda 2–1 NC Magra JSM SKIKDA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said JSM Skikda win~~38%

~~The market said~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.576

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.465

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said JSM Skikda win at 38%.
1′Little has changed for our model: JSM Skikda 38% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–32–31
1′KICK-OFF JSM Skikda v NC Magra
25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was JSM Skikda win 33%)
29′We said JSM Skikda at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–7
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' JSM Skikda 1–0 NC Magra
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' JSM Skikda win: 38% at kick-off, 73% now
29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' JSM Skikda win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 20%)
31′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 1–0 · 73–20–7
40′We said JSM Skikda at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
45′HALF-TIME JSM Skikda 1–0 NC Magra
46′SECOND HALF JSM Skikda 1–0 NC Magra
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' JSM Skikda win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
58′We said JSM Skikda at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' JSM Skikda 2–0 NC Magra
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' JSM Skikda win: 38% at kick-off, 97% now
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' JSM Skikda win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
73′⚽ GOAL · 73' JSM Skikda 2–1 NC Magra
74′We said JSM Skikda at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' JSM Skikda win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
76′3 goals already, more than the 1.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 89–10–1
78′We said JSM Skikda at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
FTFULL TIME JSM Skikda 2–1 NC Magra
FTJSM Skikda 2–1 NC Magra · JSM Skikda win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

JSM Skikda win38%

Draw30%

NC Magra win32%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

JSM Skikda

NC Magra

10Days since last match4

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	NC Magra	4	−1	7
11	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jsm skikda winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

38% The market45%

Us38%

~~Market~~45%

We make JSM Skikda a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · jsm skikda win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JSM Skikda win	38%	45%	−7
Draw	30%	32%	−2
NC Magra win	32%	23%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	30%	36%	−6
Both teams to score	35%	43%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	55%	61%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	13%	19%	−6
JSM Skikda or draw	68%	77%	−8
JSM Skikda clean sheet	43%	–	–
NC Magra clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.7%

0123450 15.7 13.8 6.0 2.0 1 15.2 11.7 5.3 2 7.7 6.3 2.7 3 2.9 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JSM Skikda down, NC Magra across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,457 Ligue 2 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

JSM Skikda at home: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). NC Magra away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.02 goals for JSM Skikda, 0.89 for NC Magra. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Ligue 2 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Ligue 2

JSM SKIKDA

LLDWLW0–2 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

NC MAGRA

LLLWWD0–4 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	4	+10	12
2	Blida	4	+4	10
3	USM Annaba	4	+6	9
4	Azazga	4	+2	8
5	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
6	MC Saida	3	+2	7
7	Nrb Beni Oulbene	4	+2	7
8	Usm El Harrach	4	+1	7
9	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
10	NC Magra	4	−1	7
11	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6
12	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
13	MO Constantine	4	+1	6
14	Khroub	4	+1	6
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5
16	WA Mostaganem	4	0	5
17	MO Bejaia	3	+1	4
18	Paradou AC	3	0	4
19	Mostaganem	4	−1	4
20	IRB Nezla	3	−1	4
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4
22	Hussein Dey	4	−2	3
23	Koléa	3	−3	3
24	Teleghma	4	−2	2
25	CA Batna	4	−2	2
26	El Bayadh	4	−2	2
27	US Chaouia	4	−4	2
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1
29	Tiaret	4	−4	1
30	Taghit	4	−6	1
31	CR Béni Thour	3	−4	0