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JS Jijel v MSP Batna

JS Jijel

1–2Full time

MSP Batna

Ligue 2 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57

JS Jijel 1–2 MSP Batna JS JIJEL WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said JS Jijel win~~53%

~~The market said~~34%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.975

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.665

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said JS Jijel win at 53%.
1′Little has changed for our model: JS Jijel 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–28–20
1′KICK-OFF JS Jijel v MSP Batna
32′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–28–56
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' JS Jijel 0–1 MSP Batna
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' JS Jijel win: 53% at kick-off, 16% now
32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' MSP Batna win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was JS Jijel win 16%)
34′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 16–28–57
38′⚽ GOAL · 38' JS Jijel 0–1 MSP Batna
39′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–28–58
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' JS Jijel win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
45′HALF-TIME JS Jijel 0–1 MSP Batna
46′SECOND HALF JS Jijel 0–1 MSP Batna
52′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–48–16
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' JS Jijel 1–1 MSP Batna
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' JS Jijel win: 53% at kick-off, 36% now
52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was MSP Batna win 16%)
54′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–50–16
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' JS Jijel win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
63′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
69′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–12
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' JS Jijel win: 53% at kick-off, 22% now
72′⚽ GOAL · 72' JS Jijel 1–2 MSP Batna
73′We said JS Jijel at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 1–2 · 3–18–79
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' JS Jijel win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' MSP Batna win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
75′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 2–17–81
FTFULL TIME JS Jijel 1–2 MSP Batna
FTJS Jijel 1–2 MSP Batna · JS Jijel win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

JS Jijel win53%

Draw27%

MSP Batna win21%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

JS Jijel

MSP Batna

4Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · js jijel winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

53% The market34%

Us53%

~~Market~~34%

We make JS Jijel a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 18 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.8.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · js jijel win The market, margin stripped

Published at 54%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JS Jijel win	53%	34%	+18
Draw	27%	32%	−6
MSP Batna win	21%	33%	−13
Over 2.5 goals	37%	38%	−1
Both teams to score	39%	46%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	62%	62%	0
Over 3.5 goals	18%	19%	−2
JS Jijel or draw	79%	67%	+13
JS Jijel clean sheet	48%	–	–
MSP Batna clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.5%

0123450 11.7 9.2 3.4 1 16.5 11.3 4.5 2 11.2 8.1 3.1 3 5.4 3.9 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JS Jijel down, MSP Batna across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,457 Ligue 2 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

JS Jijel at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). MSP Batna away: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for JS Jijel, 0.75 for MSP Batna. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~JSJ 1–4 MSP · MSP 1–3 JSJ · JSJ 2–1 MSP · MSP 1–1 JSJ

Form · last six in Ligue 2

JS JIJEL

WLLLDL1–0 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–2

MSP BATNA

WWDDWW5–0 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	4	+10	12
2	Blida	4	+4	10
3	USM Annaba	4	+6	9
4	Azazga	4	+2	8
5	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
6	MC Saida	3	+2	7
7	Nrb Beni Oulbene	4	+2	7
8	Usm El Harrach	4	+1	7
9	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
10	NC Magra	4	−1	7
11	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6
12	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
13	MO Constantine	4	+1	6
14	Khroub	4	+1	6
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5
16	WA Mostaganem	4	0	5
17	MO Bejaia	3	+1	4
18	Paradou AC	3	0	4
19	Mostaganem	4	−1	4
20	IRB Nezla	3	−1	4
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4
22	Hussein Dey	4	−2	3
23	Koléa	3	−3	3
24	Teleghma	4	−2	2
25	CA Batna	4	−2	2
26	El Bayadh	4	−2	2
27	US Chaouia	4	−4	2
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1
29	Tiaret	4	−4	1
30	Taghit	4	−6	1
31	CR Béni Thour	3	−4	0