IRB Nezla v Azazga prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:45

IRB Nezla 0–1 Azazga IRB NEZLA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said IRB Nezla win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.710

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

IRB Nezla are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: IRB Nezla 41%, draw 28%, Azazga 32%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on IRB Nezla v AzazgaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

IRB Nezla win41%

Draw28%

Azazga win32%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

IRB Nezla

Azazga

7Days since last match5

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

Last match: 19 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Azazga	6	+4	11
14	IRB Nezla	5	−3	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · irb nezla winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make IRB Nezla a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · IRB Nezla v Azazga~~1.20 – 1.02

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W1 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 11~~14 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
IRB Nezla win	41%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Azazga win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
IRB Nezla or draw	68%	–	–
IRB Nezla clean sheet	37%	–	–
Azazga clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%

0123450 11.1 11.7 5.6 2.0 1 13.7 12.1 6.4 2.3 2 7.8 7.5 3.8 3 3.3 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+IRB Nezla down, Azazga across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,491 Ligue 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

IRB Nezla at home: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Azazga away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for IRB Nezla, 1.02 for Azazga. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept

IRB NEZLA

LWDLL0–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 0–1

AZAZGA

DWDWLW2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · East

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MSP Batna	6	+4	14
2	Azazga	6	+4	11
3	USM Annaba	6	+5	10
4	MO Constantine	6	+2	10
5	NC Magra	6	−1	10
6	JSM Skikda	5	+2	9
7	Khroub	6	+1	9
8	Nrb Beni Oulbene	6	0	8
9	US Chaouia	6	−2	8
10	MO Bejaia	5	+2	7
11	Paradou AC	5	+1	7
12	CA Batna	6	−1	6
13	Teleghma	6	−2	5
14	IRB Nezla	5	−3	4
15	CR Béni Thour	5	−6	3
16	JS Jijel	5	−6	1