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GC Mascara v Sidi Benali

GC Mascara

2–0Full time

Sidi Benali

Ligue 2 · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:57

GC Mascara 2–0 Sidi Benali GC MASCARA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said GC Mascara win~~52%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.352

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.328

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said GC Mascara win at 52%.
1′Much as we predicted: GC Mascara was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
1′KICK-OFF GC Mascara v Sidi Benali
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' GC Mascara win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
44′We said GC Mascara at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–39–21
45′HALF-TIME GC Mascara 0–0 Sidi Benali
46′SECOND HALF GC Mascara 0–0 Sidi Benali
47′We said GC Mascara at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was GC Mascara win 37%)
55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–46–19
57′We said GC Mascara at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' GC Mascara win: 52% at kick-off, 31% now
65′We said GC Mascara at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' GC Mascara 1–0 Sidi Benali
71′We published GC Mascara at 52%. Our model now makes it 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–1
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' GC Mascara win: 52% at kick-off, 86% now
71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' GC Mascara win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
79′We published GC Mascara at 52%. Our model now makes it 91%. 1–0 · 91–9–1
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' GC Mascara win: 52% at kick-off, 93% now
83′🟥 RED CARD · 83' Sidi Benali
84′A red card for Sidi Benali on 83′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 94–5–0
86′We published GC Mascara at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' GC Mascara 2–0 Sidi Benali
88′We published GC Mascara at 52%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME GC Mascara 2–0 Sidi Benali
FTGC Mascara 2–0 Sidi Benali · GC Mascara win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

GC Mascara win52%

Draw24%

Sidi Benali win24%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

GC Mascara

Sidi Benali

4Days since last match4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gc mascara winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:44 · locked at kick-off

52% The market53%

Us52%

~~Market~~53%

We make GC Mascara a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · gc mascara win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
GC Mascara win	52%	53%	−2
Draw	24%	27%	−3
Sidi Benali win	24%	20%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	46%	44%	+2
Both teams to score	47%	46%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	71%	67%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	26%	24%	+1
GC Mascara or draw	76%	80%	−4
GC Mascara clean sheet	39%	–	–
Sidi Benali clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.9%

0123450 8.1 8.3 3.8 1 12.9 11.1 5.5 2 9.5 8.8 4.2 3 5.1 4.7 2.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+GC Mascara down, Sidi Benali across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,457 Ligue 2 matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.1% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

GC Mascara at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Sidi Benali away: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for GC Mascara, 0.97 for Sidi Benali. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in Ligue 2 since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Ligue 2

GC MASCARA

DDLDDW1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

SIDI BENALI

WLDW1–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	RC Kouba	4	+10	12
2	Blida	4	+4	10
3	USM Annaba	4	+6	9
4	Azazga	4	+2	8
5	MSP Batna	4	+2	8
6	MC Saida	3	+2	7
7	Nrb Beni Oulbene	4	+2	7
8	Usm El Harrach	4	+1	7
9	Sidi Benali	4	0	7
10	NC Magra	4	−1	7
11	JSM Skikda	3	+2	6
12	ASM Oran	4	+1	6
13	MO Constantine	4	+1	6
14	Khroub	4	+1	6
15	GC Mascara	3	+1	5
16	WA Mostaganem	4	0	5
17	MO Bejaia	3	+1	4
18	Paradou AC	3	0	4
19	Mostaganem	4	−1	4
20	IRB Nezla	3	−1	4
21	WA Tlemcen	3	−1	4
22	Hussein Dey	4	−2	3
23	Koléa	3	−3	3
24	Teleghma	4	−2	2
25	CA Batna	4	−2	2
26	El Bayadh	4	−2	2
27	US Chaouia	4	−4	2
28	JS Jijel	3	−3	1
29	Tiaret	4	−4	1
30	Taghit	4	−6	1
31	CR Béni Thour	3	−4	0