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El Bayadh v MC Saida

El Bayadh
1–2Full time
MC Saida

Ligue 2 · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
El Bayadh 1–2 MC Saida EL BAYADH WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGUNDER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said El Bayadh win37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.791

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with El Bayadh just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: El Bayadh 37%, draw 35%, MC Saida 27%. Over 2.5 goals 21%, both teams to score 27%.

The AI’s read on El Bayadh v MC SaidaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off

El Bayadh win37%
Draw35%
MC Saida win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

El Bayadh

MC Saida

4Days since last match4

Last match: 13 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

Last match: 13 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · West

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5MC Saida4+310
13El Bayadh5−52

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · el bayadh winFirst published 13 Oct 05:25 · updated 14 Oct 04:32 · locked at kick-off
37% The market–
Us37%

We make El Bayadh a 37% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.7, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 23%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · El Bayadh v MC Saida0.86 – 0.69
Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 SeptW0 D2 L3 · W3 D1 L0
Table places · points 2 v 1013 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 13 OCT 05:3017 OCT 14:02
Our probability · El Bayadh win

Published at 41%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
El Bayadh win37%––
Draw35%––
MC Saida win27%––
Over 2.5 goals21%––
Both teams to score27%––
Over 1.5 goals45%––
Over 3.5 goals8%––
El Bayadh or draw73%––
El Bayadh clean sheet51%––
MC Saida clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 22.5%
0123450 22.5 14.9 5.0 1 17.9 10.9 4.0 2 7.7 5.1 3 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+El Bayadh down, MC Saida across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsELB 3–0 MCS · MCS 0–0 ELB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 19 Sept

EL BAYADH

LDLDL0–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3

MC SAIDA

DWWW2–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · West
#TEAMPGDPTS
1RC Kouba5+1013
2Blida5+613
3GC Mascara5+611
4Usm El Harrach5+310
5MC Saida4+310
6ASM Oran5+69
7Mostaganem507
8Sidi Benali5−27
9Hussein Dey5+16
10WA Mostaganem506
11WA Tlemcen4−34
12Koléa4−43
13El Bayadh5−52
14Tiaret5−51
15Taghit5−111
16RC Arba2−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.