CA Batna v US Chaouia prediction · Ligue 2

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

CA Batna 2–0 US Chaouia CA BATNA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CA Batna win~~46%

~~The market said~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.443

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.453

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CA Batna win at 46%.
1′Little has changed for our model: CA Batna 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–30–25
1′KICK-OFF CA Batna v US Chaouia
25′A goal for CA Batna on 25′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–17–6
25′We said CA Batna at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–6
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' CA Batna 1–0 US Chaouia
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' CA Batna win: 46% at kick-off, 77% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 78–17–5
42′We said CA Batna at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
45′HALF-TIME CA Batna 1–0 US Chaouia
46′SECOND HALF CA Batna 1–0 US Chaouia
63′We said CA Batna at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' CA Batna win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
76′We said CA Batna at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
80′CA Batna score on 79′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
80′We said CA Batna at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
80′⚽ GOAL · 79' CA Batna 2–0 US Chaouia
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' CA Batna win: 46% at kick-off, over 99% now
FTFULL TIME CA Batna 2–0 US Chaouia
FTCA Batna 2–0 US Chaouia · CA Batna win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CA Batna are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CA Batna 46%, draw 29%, US Chaouia 25%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on CA Batna v US ChaouiaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

CA Batna win46%

Draw29%

US Chaouia win25%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CA Batna

US Chaouia

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 2 (Algeria)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	US Chaouia	6	−2	8
12	CA Batna	6	−1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ca batna winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

46% The market45%

Us46%

~~Market~~45%

We make CA Batna a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CA Batna v US Chaouia~~1.18 – 0.78

~~Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 8~~12 v 9

~~The market · CA Batna win~~45% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · CA Batna win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CA Batna win	46%	45%	+1
Draw	29%	31%	−2
US Chaouia win	25%	24%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	31%	34%	−3
Both teams to score	36%	40%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	57%	59%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	14%	17%	−3
CA Batna or draw	75%	76%	−1
CA Batna clean sheet	47%	–	–
US Chaouia clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.0%

0123450 14.3 11.5 4.3 1 17.0 11.9 4.9 2 9.7 7.3 2.9 3 3.9 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CA Batna down, US Chaouia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,491 Ligue 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.62 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CA Batna at home: 1.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). US Chaouia away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for CA Batna, 0.78 for US Chaouia. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.62

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~USC 1–0 CAB · CAB 2–2 USC · USC 2–1 CAB · CAB 0–1 USC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 2 this season · since 18 Sept

CA BATNA

DLLDWD2–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

US CHAOUIA

DLDLWW1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · East

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	MSP Batna	6	+4	14
2	Azazga	6	+4	11
3	USM Annaba	6	+5	10
4	MO Constantine	6	+2	10
5	NC Magra	6	−1	10
6	JSM Skikda	5	+2	9
7	Khroub	6	+1	9
8	Nrb Beni Oulbene	6	0	8
9	US Chaouia	6	−2	8
10	MO Bejaia	5	+2	7
11	Paradou AC	5	+1	7
12	CA Batna	6	−1	6
13	Teleghma	6	−2	5
14	IRB Nezla	5	−3	4
15	CR Béni Thour	5	−6	3
16	JS Jijel	5	−6	1